摘要
ThelinkbetweenclimatechangeanddesertificationisanimportantglobalproblemfortheUnitedNationsFrameworkConventiononClimateChange(UNFCCC)andtheUnitedNationsConventiontoCombatDesertification(UNCCD).ThecoastalprovincesinSouthernCentreVietnamarestronglyinfluencedbydesertification,whichisfurtherexacerbatedbyclimatechange.TheDelphimethodwasusedtoselectsustainabilityindicatorsandthenamethodofananalyticalhierarchyprocesswasappliedtoprioritizesustainablesolutionsinBinhThuanexpertstoelicitthecausesandeffectsofdesertification.Accordingtothepanelof23experts,27cause(e.g.rainfallandsunshineduration)and22effect(e.g.riceandagriculture)indicatorswereofparticularimportancetodesertificationanddroughtintheprovince.Thehighestprioritiesforcausearegiventoemigration,followedbyincomefromindustryandwatersupplyforhouseholduse.Thehighestprioritiesforeffectintheareaaregiventosocioeconomiccriteria,andinparticulartothesub-criteriaresettlementduetodevelopmentprojects,buildinghydropowerreservoirs,andimplementingirrigationschemes.Thesystemofindicatorsprovidesusefulinformationforthefuturestudies.Thisstudyprovidesameanstouncoverthemostimportantcriteriaperceivedasmajorcontributorstodesertificationandassuchenablespolicy-makerstoprioritizesolutionsforBinhThuan(Vietnam)by2015andavisionin2020.
出版日期
2016年02月12日(中国期刊网平台首次上网日期,不代表论文的发表时间)