Application of Dangerous Probability Function in Risk Estimation of Surface Rupture Earthquake:Taking the Lingwu Fault in Ningxi1 Region as on Example

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摘要 Basedonthefittingonpaleoearthquakedataofintra-plateregionsinthenorthernpartofChi-naandgivingastatisticalmodeloftimeinterdependence,thepotentialdamageearthquakesinadefinitefutureperiodandcharacteristicsofpresentshocksalongtheLingwufaulthavebeenanalyzedbyusingdangerousprobabilityfunctionandsomenewdataconcerned.Wehavein-ferredthatthefaulthasenteredaperiodthatearthquakeswillprobablyoccur.ThereexistsapotentialdangerthatastrongearthquakewithMs7.0-7.5willoccurin10-100a.
机构地区 不详
出版日期 2002年01月11日(中国期刊网平台首次上网日期,不代表论文的发表时间)
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