摘要
AsimplifiedfragilityanalysisoffantypecablestayedbridgesusingProbabilisticRiskAnalysis(PRA)procedureispresentedfordeterminingtheirfailureprobabilityunderrandomgroundmotion.Seismicinputtothebridgesupportisconsideredtobeariskconsistentresponsespectrumwhichisobtainedfromaseparateanalysis.Fortheresponseanalysis,thebridgedeckismodeledasabeamsupportedonspringsatdifferentpoints.Thestiffnessesofthespringsaredeterminedbyaseparate2Dstaticanalysisofcable-tower-decksystem.Theanalysisprovidesacoupledstiffnessmatrixforthespringsystem.Acontinuummethodofanalysisusingdynamicstiffnessisusedtodeterminethedynamicpropertiesofthebridges.Theresponseofthebridgedeckisobtainedbytheresponsespectrummethodofanalysisasappliedtomultidegreeoffreedomsystemwhichdulytakesintoaccountthequasi-staticcomponentofbridgedeckvibration.Thefragilityanalysisincludesuncertaintiesarisingduetothevariationingroundmotion,materialproperty,modeling,methodofanalysis,ductilityfactoranddamageconcentrationeffect.ProbabilityoffailureofthebridgedeckisdeterminedbytheFirstOrderSecondMoment(FOSM)methodofreliability.Athreespandoubleplanesymmetricalfantypecablestayedbridgeoftotalspan689m,isusedasanillustrativeexample.Thefragilitycurvesforthebridgedeckfailureareobtainedunderanumberofparametricvariations.Someoftheimportantconclusionsofthestudyindicatethat(i)notonlyverticalcomponentbutalsothehorizontalcomponentofgroundmotionhasconsiderableeffectontheprobabilityoffailure;(ii)groundmotionwithnotimelagbetweensupportexcitationsprovidesasmallerprobabilityoffailureascomparedtogroundmotionwithverylargetimelagbetweensupportexcitation;and(iii)probabilityoffailuremayconsiderablyincreaseforsoftsoilcondition.
出版日期
2005年01月11日（中国期刊网平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）
