DIAGNOSIS OF NWP SYSTEMATIC FORECAST ERRORS IN ZONAL MEAN CIRCULATION

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摘要 ItisprovedinthispaperthatNWPsystematicforecasterrorsinthezonalmeancirculationareduetothedifferenceinwesterlyaccelerationprocessduringtheforecastingperiodbetweenmodelandrealatmospheres.Thoseforcingfactorswhichevokethezonalmeanwindvariationcanbesplitintovariouslineartermsaccordingtothenon-accelerationtheoreminaprimitiveequationsystem,Byapplyingthistech-niquetothediagnosisoftheforecastproduetsoftheT42L9modelinJanuary1992andinJuly1992,itisindicatedthatthemodelhastheabilitytoforecastthezonalmeanwindtoareasonableextent,buttherearestillsomeerrorsinseveralplaces,especiallyintheuppertroposphereandlowerstrato-sphereinthemid-latituderegionaswellasnearthesurface.Theresultsofanalysisbyemployingthisschemerevealthereasonresponsibleforthesystematicforecasterrorsofthezonalmeanwindinthemodelandthepossiblewayofimprovingit.Itisalsoshownthatnon-accelerationtheoremcanbeusedasanefficienttooltodiagnosethephysicalprocessesofNWPmodels.
机构地区 不详
出处 《气象学报:英文版》 1995年3期
出版日期 1995年03月13日(中国期刊网平台首次上网日期,不代表论文的发表时间)
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