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  • 简介:THEDUSTSTORMINCHINAZhuFukang(朱福康)andZhangWenqian(章文茜)InstituteofSynopticandDynamicMeteorologyABSTRACTThispaperanalyzesthegeog...

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  • 简介:MonsoonsoverChina¥byDingYihui(ChineseAcademyofMeteorologicalSciences,Beigug,China)ATMOSPHERICSCIENCESLIBRARY,16Themonsoonover...

  • 标签: China OVER
  • 简介:现在的学习在冬季调查华南海(SCS)SST和ENSO的影响(1月鈥揊ebruary鈥揗arch;JFM)在由为时期使用车站观察的华南和它的动态过程上的降雨1951鈥?003,为时期的遇见的办公室哈德利中心SST数据1900鈥?008,并且为时期的ERA-40分析数据1958鈥?002。在华南上的JFM降雨与Ni有重要关联,这被发现?o-3和SCSSST。分析在ElNi显示出那?o或积极SCSSST异例年,在700hPa的西南的异例在华南海上统治,它接着搬运更多的潮湿进华南并且赞成增加的降雨。部分回归分析显示对冬季降雨的独立ENSO影响主要在华南上发生,而SCSSST在华南的北部分在冬季降雨上有更大的独立影响。在华南上的温度在表面附近在300hPa和增加显示出明显的减少,与Ni导致的前者?o-3和后者SCSSST异例。这提高对流不稳定性并且削弱潜在的涡度(PV),它解释加强在华南上登上运动和JFM降雨的增加。关键词ENSO-华南海-SST-降雨-对流不稳定性-潜在的涡度

  • 标签: ENSO事件 南中国海 冬季降水 SST 冬小麦 Sea
  • 简介:ENVIRONMENTANDCLIMATECHANGEINCHINA¥ZhouXiuji(周秀骥),ChenLongxun(陈隆勋),LiWeiliang(李维亮)andLiXiaowen(李晓文)ENVIRONMENTANDCLIMATECHANG...

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  • 简介:Derechos经常发生在欧洲和美国,而是在中国的derechos的报告是少见的。在这份报纸,雷达,卫星,和表面观察,数据被用来在2011年4月17日在华南分析一个derecho事件。对流系统与中等对流可得到的精力在环境形成了的生产derechomesoscale,大垂直的风砍,并且在中间的对流层的干燥的层,并且进行与前面和一根表面风集中线一起向南方。暴风能在雷达回响的特征和强风的原因根据差别被划分成二个阶段。一个阶段是一个supercell阶段,有塑造鞠躬的雷达回响的高降水的supercell的下沉后面的流入在导致了FujitaF0班强风。另外的阶段是一个non-supercell阶段(回响是顺序肾形的,塑造脚,并且一个平常的单个房间),在哪个downbursts在FujitaF1班上导致了强风。这个derecho事件有许多类似,derechos在西方的国家观察了。例如,暴风对吝啬的流动垂直,强风位于鞠躬回响的鼓起的部分,并且derecho移动了与表面前面一起向南方。一些差别也被观察。摘要规模的强迫当进展不在时是弱的高振幅的midlevel马槽并且伴随强壮的表面气旋;然而,垂直的风砍是很强壮的,典型地代表与强壮的摘要规模的强迫联系的derechos的一个特征。对流可得到的势能以前被认为必要到弱强迫的原型和混合derechos的形成的对流可得到的势能和downdraft的极其高的价值;然而,这些价值多不到2000J在这个derecho事件期间。

  • 标签: 中国南方 观测分析 中尺度对流系统 垂直风切变 雷达回波 对流有效位能
  • 简介:与从在1970和2001之间的热带气旋年鉴的数据,统计分析被执行学习气候的特征乍见陆地TC(作为TCshereafter注意了)在有详细规格的中国,注意集中于乍见陆地频率,地点,支撑,腐烂,转变,增强和驱散等等。结果显示在土地上的TC的支撑的时期是相当不同的为不同乍见陆地看到,并且从Guangxito浙江增加了。TC紧张的最明显的减少主要在12个小时以内发生在以后乍见陆地。TC越强壮,它越腐烂。TC是的在上区域驱散罐头嬉痞的集会Heilongjiang,极北,并且云南,最西。而且,Guangxi是有高作为与另外的沿海的区域相比驱散率和题目到TC驱散的一个区域。

  • 标签: 热带气旋 着陆 统计学 气候特征
  • 简介:这篇文章讨论北方大西洋摆动(NAO)和诺思太平洋摆动(NPO)的interannual变化,它与在与气候被联系的中国的interdecadal气候变化的关系在1960鈥檚在北半球跳,用数据分析。两个都,NAO和NPO的振幅在1960鈥檚显然增加,这清楚地被显示出,摆动的主要时期在1960鈥檚前从3-4年改变到8鈥?在1960鈥檚以后的5年。因此,在中国的interdecadal气候变化或气候在1960鈥檚跳仔细与NAO和NPO的异例有关。关键词诺思大西洋摆动(NAO)-诺思太平洋摆动(NPO)-气候跳-Interdecadal气候变化这个工作被国家关键基本科学节目在中国(G1998040903)支持,科学的中国学院和中国(资助No.49823002)的国家自然科学Fundation。作者对为打手稿的王璇女士也感激。

  • 标签: NORTH Atlantic OSCILLATION (NAO). NORTH Pacific
  • 简介:UsingaDMT(DropletMeasurementTechnologies)continuousflowstreamwisethermalgradientcloudcondensationnuclei(CCN)countermountedonaCheyenneⅢAaircraft,about20flightsforaircraftmea-surementsofCCNoverNorthChinawereconductedintheautumnof2005andspringof2006.Accordingtothedesignforaircraftobservation,themethodofspiralascentordescentinthetropospherewasusedfortheverticalmeasurementofCCN,andsomecertainlevelswerechosenforhorizontalmeasurement.TheverticaldistributionsofCCNconcentrationsshowthatmostCCNparticlesareconcentratedinthelowleveloftroposphereandCCNconcentrationdecreasedwithheightincreasing.ItsuggeststhatthemainsourceofCCNisfromthesurface.Thisresultisconsistentwithformerstudiesduring1983-1985inChinawithastaticthermalgradientCCNcounter.ThecomparisonofverticalobservationsbetweenpollutedruralareanearShijiazhuangandnon-pollutedruralareanearZhangjiakoushowsthatthereisaboutfivetimesdifferenceinCCNconcentration.Butovertwopollutedcities,ShijiazhuangandHandan,thereisnonotabledifferenceinCCNconcentration.ThehorizontalflightmeasurementsforpenetratingthecumuluscloudsexperimentshowtheapparentdecreaseofCCNinclouds.ItconfirmsthatcloudhasadefiniteconsumptiveeffectonCCNparticlesbecausesomeCCNparticlescanformclouddroplets.ThesurfacemeasurementsofCCNinShijiazhuangCityweremadeduringJune-August2005.Thesta-tisticalCCNdatashowthegreatdifferenceinconcentrationatthesamesupersaturation(S)inShijiazhuangsummertime.TheminimumCCNconcentrationswere584,808,and2431cm~(-3),andthemaximumconcen-trationswere9495,16332,and21812cm~(-3)atS=0.1%,0.3%,and0.5%,respectively.CCNhasadiurnalvariationcycle.From0600BT,theconcentrationbegantoincreaseandreachedthemaximumataboutnoon.Thenitgenerallydecreasedthroughouttheafternoon.Thereasonmaybeisrelatedtotheonsetofemissionsfromvehiculartraffi

  • 标签: 东北地区 云层凝聚 CCN 气候学
  • 简介:Describedisanewtechniqueofdecade-scaleclimaticforecasting,presentedbyacombinationofwaveletanalysisandstochasticdynamics.ThetechniqueisalsoappliedtodiagnosingandforecastingthedurationtimeofdryandwetclimatesinthedecadalhierarchyofdifferentareasinChina.Resultsshowthatinthedecadalhierarchy,thenorth,southwest,andsoutheastofChinaareareaswherevariouskindsoffrequentclimatedisastersappear;droughtseasilyoccurinthenorthandnorthwest,whilefloodsoftenoccurinSouthChina.Becausethismodelingtechniqueisbasedontimeseriesdata,itcanalsobeappliedinthemodelingandforecastingofsuchtimeseriesashydrology,earthquakesandecology.

  • 标签: 子波分析 随机动力学 突变点数建模技术 中国 气候预测 代尺度
  • 简介:Inthispaper,thedevelopmentofthestudiesontheweather-yieldsimulationandforecastingmodelinChinaisbrieflyreviewed,andthemainfeaturesofthecurrentdevelopmentstagearepresented.Moreover,throughexamplesthetechnicalcharacters,approachesandexperimentalresultsaredetailedlydescribedanddiscussedofseveralmajorstatisticalforecastingmodels,dynamiccropgrowthsimulationandthesatelliteremotesensingmethodstoestimatecropyield.Finally,thelineoffurtherdevelopmentandtheappliedfieldarepointedout.Atthepresenttime,inparticular,usingtheabove-mentionedmodellingtechniquestosimu-lateandevaluatethepossibleimpactofclimaticvariationonagriculturalproductionandfurtheronman’ssurvivalandactivitiesareofaverypracticalsignificanceaswellassocioeconomicbenefits.

  • 标签: CLIMATIC forecasting WEATHER SUNSHINE briefly agricultural
  • 简介:Inthecontextofglobalwarming,Chinaisfacingwithincreasingclimaterisks.Itisimperativetodevelopquantitativeindicestoreflecttheclimateriskscausedbyextremeweather/climateeventsandadverseclimaticconditionsinassociationwithdifferentindustries.Basedontheobservationsat2288meteorologicalstationsinChinaandthemeteorologicaldisastersdata,asetofindicesaredevelopedtomeasureclimaterisksduetowater-logging,drought,hightemperature,cryogenicfreezing,andtyphoon.Astatisticalmethodisthenusedtoconstructanoverallclimateriskindex(CRI)forChinafromtheseindividualindices.Thereisagoodcorrespondencebetweentheseindicesandhistoricalclimaticconditions.TheCRI,theindexofwater-loggingbyrain,andthehightemperatureindexincreaseatarateof0.28,0.37,and0.65perdecade,respectively,from1961to2016.Thecryogenicfreezingindexiscloselyrelatedtochangesintheconsumerpriceindexforfood.Thehightemperatureindexiscorrelatedwiththeconsumptionofenergyandelectricity.Thecorrelationbetweentheyearlygrowthinclaimsonhouseholdpropertyinsuranceandthesumofthewater-loggingindexandthetyphoonindexinthesameyearisashighas0.70.BoththegrowthrateofclaimsonagriculturalinsuranceandtheannualgrowthrateofhospitalinpatientsarepositivelycorrelatedwiththeCRI.Theyear-on-yeargrowthinthenumberofdomestictouristsissignificantlynegativelycorrelatedwiththeCRIinthesameyear.MoreeffortsareneededtodevelopregionalCRIs.

  • 标签: CLIMATE RISK index CONSTRUCTION ECONOMIC ACTIVITIES
  • 简介:ThepaperstudiedthedistributionlawofXinjiang’sheavyrainintime-area-depthbytheoreticalexpressiondeducedfromtheentropymaximumprincipleandfoundsomeregularitiesofheavyrainfallinXinjiangbasedonanalyzing32-yearobservationaldatafromabout400hydrologicalandmeteorologicalstations.IthaspracticalsignificanceforstudyingXinjiang’sheavyrainfall,designingwaterconservancyandreducingfloodcatastrophecausedbyheavyrain.

  • 标签: maximum ENTROPY principle heavy RAIN time-area-depth
  • 简介:中国云物理学研究的评论在期间20032006在这篇论文被做。云田间试验和观察,云物理学和降水上的研究包括它在冰雹抑制和人造降雨改进的理论应用程序,云物理学和闪电,和云和气候变化被包括。首先对从天气修正活动,云物理学的问题和天气修正的需求到期与许多田间试验和模型研究在中国被探讨了。当云物理学和天气修正仍然是时,一个重要研究领域,在喷雾器之间的相互作用,云和放射处理变化研究,它是当前的气候的关键问题,在过去的四年在中国成为了一个新研究方向。

  • 标签: 中国 物理研究 气象要素 降水 气候变化
  • 简介:ElNinoaswellastheSouthernOscillationisoneofthestrongestsignalsknownsofaroverclimaticnoiseininterannualvariationsoftheatmosphereandoceans.Agreatnumberofstudieshaveshowndefinitelyrelationshipsbe-tweentheeventsandclimaticanomaliesinChina.Inthisreview,observationalresultsobtainedintherecentseveralyearsarefirstsummarized.ThenthepossiblephysicalmechanismsontheinfluenceofElNinoarepresentedand,finally,theassociatedproblemsarediscussed.

  • 标签: El Nino DROUGHT and FLOOR TYPHOON
  • 简介:在这研究,越过从1956~2004的中国的最大的风速度(WSmax)变化基于观察车站数据被分析,并且为20462065和20802099的WSmax的变化用三个全球气候模型被投射(GFDL_CM2_0,CCCMA_CGCM3,并且MRI_CGCM2)那参予了IPCC第四份评价报告(AR4)。观察到年度、季节的WSmax和强风天的频率显示出明显的衰退趋势。年度WSmax每十年由约1.46ms1减少了,并且强风天的数字从1956~2004每十年到3.0天减少了。年度、季节的WSmax减少的振幅比年度、季节的平均的风速度(WSavg)的那些大。变弱东方亚洲冬季和夏天季风在整个中国上是为WSmax和WSavg的不同减少的原因。在东南的WSmax的减少中国的沿海的区域与在中国和减少的数字的冷波浪的减少的紧张有关(并且减少的紧张)land-falling,台风在西北太平洋发源。全球气候模型GFDL_CM2_0,MRI_CGCM2,和EBGCM(上面的整体提及三个全球气候模型)一致地建议年度、季节的WSmax价值将相对19812000在20462065和20802099期间减少。模型也建议在为整个中国的WSmax的减少在20462065和20802099期间与冷波浪的减少的紧张和冬季季风的减少的紧张有关,并且在在东南的WSmax的减少中国的沿海的区域在一样的时期期间相应于在在夏天的西北太平洋上的热带气旋的减少的数字。

  • 标签: 中国 最大风速 政府间气候变化专门委员会 东南沿海地区 全球气候模型 东亚冬季风
  • 简介:紫外(紫外)放射穿上重要效果生态系统,环境,和人的健康,以及大气的过程和气候变化。二紫外放射数据集在这份报纸被描述。一个人时时包含从2005~2015在40个中国生态系统研究网络车站测量的紫外放射的观察。CUV3宽带辐射计被用来观察紫外放射,与5%的精确性,它满足世界气象学组织测量标准。极值方法被用来控制测量数据集的质量。另外的数据集包含用与一个混合模型相结合的一个所有天空评价模型是计算的每天累积的紫外放射估计。从1961~2014的重建的每天紫外的放射数据跨度。吝啬的绝对偏爱错误和root-mean-square错误至多比30%小吝啬的偏爱错误价值的车站,和大多数是否定的,它显示紫外放射紧张的低估。这些数据集能在紫外放射改进我们空间、时间的变化的基本知识。另外,这些数据集能在潜力的研究被使用臭氧形成和大气的氧化,以及生态的进程的模拟。

  • 标签: 紫外线辐射 辐射数据 中国 生态系统研究站 覆盖 世界气象组织
  • 简介:Theimpactofstrong(weak)intraseasonaloscillation(ISO)overSouthChinaSea(SCS)andSouthAsia(SA)insummerontheSCSandSAsummermonsoonandthesummerrainfallinEasternChinaarestudiedbyusingtheNCEP-NCARanalysisdataandtherainfalldataof160stationsinChinafrom1961to2010.Itisfoundthattheimpactsaresignificantlydifferentindifferentmonthsofsummer.ThestudyshowsthatinJuneandJulycyclonic(anticyclonic)atmosphericcirculationoverSCSandSAcorrespondstostrong(weak)ISOoverSCS.InAugust,however,strong(weak)ISOoverSCSstillcorrespondstocyclonic(anticyclonic)atmosphericcirculationoverSA.InJuneandAugustcyclonic(anticyclonic)atmosphericcirculationoverSouthAsiacorrespondstostrong(weak)ISOoverSAwhileastrong(weak)ISOcorrespondstoanticyclonic(cyclonic)atmosphericcirculationoverSAinJuly.Besides,inJunethestrong(weak)ISOoverSAcorrespondstocyclonic(anticyclonic)atmosphericcirculationoverSCS,whileinJulyandAugusttheatmosphericcirculationisinthesamephaseregardlessofwhethertheISOoverSAisstrongorweak.Theimpactsofthestrong(weak)ISOoverSCSontherainfallofeasternChinaaresimilarinJuneandJuly,whichfavorsless(more)rainfallinYangtze-HuaiheRiversbasinbutsufficient(deficient)rainfallinthesouthofYangtzeRiver.However,theimpactsarenotsoapparentinAugust.InSouthAsia,thestrong(weak)ISOinJulyresultsinless(more)rainfallinthesouthofYangtzeRiverbutsufficient(deficient)rainfallinYangtze-HuaiheRiversbasin.TheinfluenceontherainfallineasternChinainJuneandAugustisnotassignificantasinJuly.

  • 标签: ISO atmospheric circulation RAINFALL South China Sea and South Asia
  • 简介:TheexistingestimatesofthevolumetransportfromthePacificOceantotheSouthChinaSeaaresummarized,showinganannualmeanwestwardtransport,withtheTaiwanStraitoutflowsubtracted,of3.5±2.0Sv(1Sv=106m3s-1).Resultsofaglobaloceancirculationmodelshowanannualmeantransportof3.9SvfromthePacifictotheIndianOceanthroughtheSouthChinaSea.TheborealwintertransportislargerandexhibitsaSouthChinaSeabranchofthePacific-to-IndianOceanthroughflow,whichoriginatesfromthewesternPhilippineSeatowardtheIndonesianSeasthroughtheSouthChinaSea,aswellasthroughtheKarimataandMindoroStraits.ThesouthwestwardcurrentnearthecontinentalslopeofthenorthernSouthChinaSeaisshowntobeacombinationofthisbranchandtheinteriorcirculationgyre.Thiswinterbranchcanbeconfirmedbytrajectoriesofsatellite-trackeddrifters,whichclearlyshowaflowfromtheLuz6nStraittotheKarimataStraitinwinter.Insummer,theflowintheKarimataStraitisreversed.NumericalmodelresultsindicatethatthePacificwatercanentertheSouthChinaSeaandexittowardtheSuluSea,butnoobservationalevidenceisavailable.Therolesofthethroughflowbranchinthecirculation,waterpropertiesandair-seaexchangeoftheSouthChinaSea,andinenhancingandregulatingthevolumetransportandreducingtheheattransportoftheIndonesianThroughflow,arediscussed.

  • 标签: 中国 南海 太平洋 印度洋 海洋气象 循环模型
  • 简介:CHINAGLOBALATMOSPHEREWATCHBASELINEOBSERVATORYANDITSMEASUREMENTPROGRAMTangJie(汤洁),WenYupu(温玉璞),XuXiaobin(徐晓斌),ZhengXiangdong(郑...

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