简介：统计、典型年的作文方法被用来与ElNino和LaNifia事件在关系学习西北太平洋台风活动。结果显示台风趋于在ElNifio年里不活跃并且在拉·尼娜年和它里活跃也依赖于事件的发作和台风的开始的区域。与在频率和海面温度(SST)之间的ElNifio和拉·尼娜年和时间落后关联里的台风活动的频率的统计特征。有用信息被为台风出现的预言提供。另外，单个价值拆卸(SVD)方法被使用学习在重力势领域和SST地之间的关联。结果证明在ElNino年里的由空至海的联合是相反的让台风发展，它与一个更小的数字发生。相反的状况与拉·尼娜年被发现。

简介：ElNioorLaNiamanifestinDecemberoverthePacificandwillserveasanindexfortheforecastingofsubsequentIndiansummermonsoon,whichoccursfromJunetomid-September.Inthepresentarticle,anattemptismadetostudythevariationoflatentheatflux(LHF)overthenorthIndianOceanduringstrongElNioandstrongLaNiaandrelateitwithIndianmonsoonrainfall.DuringstrongElNiotheLHFintensityishigherandassociatedwithhigherwindspeedandlowercloudamount.DuringElNioallIndiarainfallishavinganinverserelationwithLHF.SeasonalrainfallishigherinYY+1(subsequentyear)thanYY(yearofoccurrence).HoweverthereisalaginrainfallduringElNioYY+1fromJunetoJulywhencomparedwiththemonthlyrainfall.

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简介：BasedonGlobalOceanDataAssimilationSystem(GODAS)andNCEPreanalysisdata,atmosphericandoceanicprocessespossiblyresponsiblefortheonsetofthe2011/12LaNiaevent,whichfollowedthe2010/11LaNiaeven—referredtoasa'doubledip'LaNia—areinvestigated.Thekeymechanismsinvolvedinactivatingthe2011/12LaNiaareillustratedbythesedatasets.ResultsshowthatneutralconditionswerealreadyevidentintheequatorialeasternPacificduringthedecayingphaseofthe2010/11LaNia.However,isothermalanalysesshowobviouslycoldwaterstillpersistingatthesurfaceandatsubsurfacedepthsinoff-equatorialregionsthroughoutearly2011,beingmostpronouncedinthetropicalSouthPacific.ThenegativeSSTanomaliesinthetropicalSouthPacificactedtostrengthenasouthernwindacrosstheequator.ThesubsurfacecoldwaterinthetropicalSouthPacificthenspreadnorthwardandbrokeintotheequatorialregionatthethermoclinedepth.Thisincursionprocessofoff-equatorialsubsurfacecoldwatersuccessfullyinterruptedtheeasternpropagationofwarmwateralongtheequator,whichhadpreviouslyaccumulatedatsubsurfacedepthsinthewarmpoolduringthe2010/11LaNiaevent.Furthermore,theincursionprocessstrengthenedasaresultoftheoff-equatorialeffects,mostlyinthetropicalSouthPacific.ThenegativeSSTanomaliesthenreappearedinthecentralbasininsummer2011,andactedtotriggerlocalcoupledair–seainteractionstoproduceatmospheric–oceanicanomaliesthatdevelopedandevolvedwiththesecondcoolinginthefallof2011.