简介：Inthispaper,anewbiasestimationmethodisproposedandappliedinaregionalensembleKalmanfilter(EnKF)basedontheWeatherResearchandForecasting(WRF)Model.Themethodisbasedonahomogeneouslinearbiasmodel,andthemodelbiasisestimatedusingstatisticsateachassimilationcycle,whichisdifferentfromthestateaugmentationmethodsproposedinpreviousliteratures.Thenewmethodprovidesagoodestimationforthemodelbiasofsomespecificvariables,suchassealevelpressure(SLP).AseriesofnumericalexperimentswithEnKFareperformedtoexaminethenewmethodunderasevereweathercondition.Resultsshowthepositiveeffectofthemethodontheforecastingofcirculationpatternandmeso-scalesystems,andthereductionofanalysiserrors.ThebackgrounderrorcovariancestructuresofsurfacevariablesandtheeffectsofmodelsystembiasonEnKFarealsostudiedundertheerrorcovariancestructuresandanewconcept‘correlationscale’isintroduced.However,thenewmethodneedsfurtherevaluationwithmorecasesofassimilation.

简介：Physicalpropertiesofseawater,suchassalinity,temperature,densityandacousticvelocity,couldbedemarcatedthroughdegradationofenergycausedbywaterabsorption,attenuationandotherfactors.Toovercomethechallengingdifficultiesinthequickmonitoringofthesephysicalproperties,wehaveexploredthehighresolutionmarineseismicsurveytoinstantlycharacterizethem.Basedontheuniquewavefieldpropagatingintheseawater,wehavedevelopedanewapproachtosuppressthenoisecausedbytheshallowseawaterdisturbanceandobtainusefulinformationforestimatingtheseawaterstructure.Thisapproachimprovesseismicdatawithhighsignal-to-noiseratioandresolution.Theseismicreflectionimagingcanmaptheseawaterstructureacoustically.Combinedwiththeknowledgeoflocalwaterbodystructureprofileoveryears,theinstantmodelforpredictingtheseawaterpropertiescouldbebuiltusingtheseismicdataacquiredfromthespeciallydesignedhighprecisionmarineseismicacquisition.Thismodelcanalsobeupdatedwithinstantobservationandthecompletedataprocessingsystem.Thepresentstudyhasthepotentialvaluetomanyapplications,suchas3Dseawatermonitoring,engineeringevaluation,geologicaldisasterassessmentandenvironmentalassessment.

简介：我国是海洋大国，近年来，海上活动持续增多，发生海上溢油事故的风险随之加大，海上溢油污染事故一旦发生，如不得到及时控制，必将严重损害我国近海海洋环境。为了完善我国海上溢油应急反应体系，提高我国处理重大海上溢油事故的应急反应能力，海上溢油污染应急技术研究已经得到开展。本文综述了溢油预测模型的发展过程以及相关的研究成果，包括：溢油扩展模型、溢油漂移模型、油粒子模型和溢油风化模型等。这为进一步开展溢油预测和溢油污染应急工作提供了理论依据和参考。