简介：TheTangjiashanlandslidedamfailedonJune10,2008,whichwasthelargestoneformedduringtheWenchuanearthquakeinChina.Nohumanliveswerelostinthisdamfailure.Thispaperpresentsadescriptionofthedam,includingthedamgeometry,thehydrographandthereservoircapacity,thediversionchannelandthedrainagefromthelake.Severalempiricalmodelsareappliedtopredictthebreachparameters,thepeakoutflowsandthereservoirvolumesduringthisbreachevent.Themainobjectiveofthestudyistocomparevariouspredictionmodelsandtomakerecommendationofthebestmodelforthepredictionofthebreachwidth,thefailuretime,andthepeakoutflow.ThebreachwidthspredictedbytheFroehlichmethodswithconsiderationsofthereservoirstoragesandtheeffectoffailuremodeareconsideredtobemorereasonable.Allpredictionmethodsdiscussedinthispaperarefoundtounderestimatethebreachformationtimeduetothecomplexmaterialandthelargethicknessofthedam.Theresultsfromthesoilconservationservices(SCS)methodcomparewellwiththeobservedpeakoutflow.TheMaronemethodincombinationwiththecoefficientexpressionsproposedbyMacchionegivesexcellentresultsinthesimulationofthereservoirvolume-levelcurve.