简介：Theareaofwellirrigationricebecamemoreandmore,sothecrisisofgroundwaterappeared.Makingthemostofrainfallisanavailabilitymethodinwatersavingirrigation,increasingwatertemperatureandraisingyield.Justbasedonthis,throughapplyingthetheoryofseasonrandomtimeseries,accordingtothedataofaveragemonthlyrainfall(1981-1999),theauthorsbuilduptheforecastingmodelintheareaofwellirrigationriceintheSanjiangPlain.Throughcontrastingwithpracticalvalue,themodelhasgoodeffect.So,itcanbeusedinwaterirrigationmanagement.
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