学科分类
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3 个结果
  • 简介:Detectionandclarificationofcause-effectrelationshipsamongvariablesisanimportantproblemintimeseriesanalysis.Thispaperprovidesamethodthatemploysbothmutualinformationandconditionalmutualinformationtoidentifythecausalstructureofmultivariatetimeseriescausalgraphicalmodels.Athree-stepprocedureisdevelopedtolearnthecontemporaneousandthelaggedcausalrelationshipsoftimeseriescausalgraphs.Contrarytoconventionalconstraint-basedalgorithm,theproposedalgorithmdoesnotinvolveanyspecialkindsofdistributionandisnonparametric.Thesepropertiesareespeciallyappealingforinferenceoftimeseriescausalgraphswhenthepriorknowledgeaboutthedatamodelisnotavailable.Simulationsandcaseanalysisdemonstratetheeffectivenessofthemethod.

  • 标签: 多元时间序列 互信息 因果图 学习 因果关系 时间序列分析