摘要
Tothepotentialoil-spillriskcausedbyoffshorepipelinemoreattentionhasbeenpaidaftertheDalianoilspillincidentfromoil-pipelineexplosion.Sincethenanissueabouthowtopreventandcontrolthesuddenoil-spillfromtheoffshorepipelinehasbeenraised.Inthispaper,weproposedanoptimizedmodeltoanalyzethemaincauses(probability)ofspillandtheconsequencewiththefuzzycomprehensiveassessmentmodel.Consideringthecomplicatedassessmentprocessforoil-spill,theassessmentfactorsysteminvolvingthespillprobabilityandconsequencewasestablishedbasedontheoperativemanualandstatisticleakage/damagedataofoffshorepipelineinordertoestimatetheintegratedspillriskscoreautomatically.Theevaluatedfactorsofspillprobabilitycouldbegroupedintofiveaspects:corrosion,fatigue,nationaldamage,thirdparty,andoperationalfault;theconsequenceevaluatedfactorsofspillincludedhazardofoilandimpact-controllingcapability.Withsomemodificationsbasedonexperts’opinions,eachoftheevaluatedfactorsinourworkwasdevelopedwitharelativeweightandevaluationcriterion.AtestexampleforanoffshorepipelineintheBohaiwaterswasdescribedtoshowhowthemodelcanbeusedforanactualcaseinmoredetail.Byusingtheoil-spillriskassessmentmodel,itiseasytodeterminetherisklevelassociatedwiththeongoingactivityandmanagementlevelandhencetotaketheriskmitigationactionimmediately.
出版日期
2014年03月13日（中国期刊网平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）
