GOVERNMENT POLICIES AND CORPORATE FINANCING DECISIONS IN CHINA:THEORY AND EVIDENCE

(整期优先)网络出版时间:2013-01-11
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ThispaperexaminestheeffectofgovernmentpoliciesonthefinancingdecisionsoffirmsinChina.Arealoptionsmodelisdevelopedtounderstandhowfiscalandmonetarypoliciesaffectcorporateleverage.Themodelpredictionswillbetestedwithacomprehensivepaneldatasetspanningfrom2002to2011.Thisworkdocumentsrobustevidencethatshowthepositiveassociationofbothtaxandrisk-freeratewithfirmleverage:increaseintaxrateandriskfreeratebyonestandarddeviationresultsintheincreaseincorporateleveragesby0.61to1.06percentand2.54to3.68percent,respectively.Inaddition,theproductionsofthefirmsarenotaffectedbythetaxrateintheshortrun,andthefirmsareoperatingintheiroptimalmarketleverage.Theimpliedtaxrateandriskfreeratearesolvedbyassumingthatthefirmsachievetheiroptimalleverages.Theimpliedtaxratedeclineswiththesize,whereastheoppositegoesforimpliedrisk-freerate.