Characteristics of Clustering Extreme Drought Events in China During 1961-2010

(整期优先)网络出版时间:2013-02-12
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BasedontheMulti-ScaleStandardizedPrecipitationIndex(MSPI),extremeseveredroughteventsinChinaduring1961-2010wereidentified,andtheseasonal,annual,andinterdecadalvariationsoftheclusteringextremedroughteventswereinvestigatedbyusingthespatialpointprocesstheory.Itisfoundthatseveredroughtspresentatrendofgradualincreaseasaresultofthesignificantincreaseandclusteringtendencyofseveredroughtsinautumn.Theperiodicityanalysisoftheclusteringextremedroughtsindifferentseasonssuggeststhatthereisaremarkableinterdecadalchangeintheoccurrenceofclusteringextremedroughtsinwinter.Meanwhile,itisrevealedthattheclusteringextremedroughteventsexhibitgreatlydifferentannualmeanspatialdistributionsduring1961-2010,withscatteredandconcentratedclusteringzonesalternatingonthedecadaltimescale.Furthermore,itisfoundthatthedecadal-meanspatialdistributionsofextremedroughteventsinsummerarecorrelatedoutofphasewiththoseoftherainybandsoverChinainthepast50years,andagooddecadalpersistenceexistsbetweentheautumnandwinterextremedroughts,implyingasalientfeatureofconsecutiveautumn-winterdroughtsinthis50-yrperiod.ComparedwithotherregionsofChina,SouthwestChinabearsthemostprominentcharacteristicofclusteringextremedroughts.