Time-variant fragility analysis of the bridge system considering time-varying dependence among typical component seismic demands

(整期优先)网络出版时间:2019-02-12
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Thispaperpresentsacopulatechniquetodeveloptime-variantseismicfragilitycurvesforcorrodedbridgesatthesystemlevelandconsiderstherealistictime-varyingdependenceamongcomponentseismicdemands.Basedonmaterialdeteriorationmechanismsandincrementaldynamicanalysis,thetime-evolvingseismicdemandsofcomponentswereobtainedintheformofmarginalprobabilitydistributions.Thetime-varyingdependencesamongbridgecomponentswerethencapturedwiththebestfittingcopulafunction,whichwasselectedfromthecommonlyusedcopulaclassesbytheempiricaldistributionbasedanalysismethod.Thesystemtime-variantfragilitycurvesatdifferentdamagestatesweredevelopedandtheeffectsoftime-varyingdependencesamongcomponentsonthebridgesystemfragilitywereinvestigated.Theresultsindicatethetime-varyingdependenceamongcomponentssignificantlyaffectsthetime-variantfragilityofthebridgesystem.Thecopulatechniquecapturesthenonlineardependenceamongcomponentseismicdemandsaccuratelyandeasilybyseparatingthemarginaldistributionsandthedependenceamongthem.