Wavelet Analytical Forecasting Method of Water Consumption

(整期优先)网络出版时间:2004-03-13
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Anewmethodofshort-termforecastingforwaterconsumptioninmunicipalsupplywaternetworksbasedonwavelettransformationisintroduced.Bywaveletdecomposingcommonlyusedinthesignalfield,waterconsumptionperhourisdecomposedintomanyseries.Trenditem,cycleitemandrandomitemareseparatedfromtheoriginaltimeseriesinthisway.Thenbyanalyzing,buildingamodel,forecastingeveryseriesandcomposingtheresults,theforecastingvalueoftheoriginalconsumptionisreceived.Simulationresultsshowthatthisforecastingmethodisfasterandmoreaccurate,ofwhichtheerrorislessthan20%,indicatingthatthewaveletanalyticalmethodispracticable.