学科分类
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41 个结果
  • 简介:TheanalysisoftherelationshipbetweenseaiceinArcticandAntarctic,andtheSouthernOscillationIndex(SOI)variationonthetemporalscaleofmonth,seasonandyearismadeinthispaper.ThenegativecorrelationbetweenseaiceinArcticandtheSOI.andthepositivecorrelationbetweenseaiceinAntarcticandtheSOIarefound.ThevariationofseaiceinAntarcticPacificseemstoplayanimportantroleintheinfluencetoatmosphere.Theirnonlinearrelationshipspresentmorestronglythanthelinearrelationshipbetweenthem.TherelationshipbetweenseaiceinArcticandAntarcticandtheSOIintheearlystageisinvestigated.Theirvariationshowsperiodicphenomena.ThemaximumcorrelationisusedtobuildthemodelforforecastingthevariationoftheSOIontheconditionoftheseaiceinArcticandAntarctic.Theexplainedvarianceofthesimulatedseriesisgreaterthan0.90.Thereexistsa17-monthperiodintherelationshipbetweenseaiceinArcticandAntarcticandSOI.Theexistingofthecommonfactorwithlargerscaleisdiscussedinthispaper.

  • 标签: analysis of time SCALE nonlinear RELATIONSHIP
  • 简介:Temporalandspatialevolutioncharacteristicsofthe30-60dayoscillation(intraseasonaloscillation,ISO)ofsummerrainfallinChinaandtheeffectsofEastAsianmonsoonontherainfallISOareanalyzedinthispaper.Resultsshowthattheannualanddecadalvariationsoftheoscillationexistbetween1960and2008,andtheintensityisweakestinthelate1970sandearly1980s.InthetypicalstrongyearsoftherainfallISOobtainedfromempiricalorthogonalfunctions(EOFmode1),ananticycloneisinnorthwesternPacificandacycloneisintheeastofChina.Inthetypicalweakyears,thewindISOismuchweaker.Thelow-frequencyzonalwindandwatervaportransportfromthelowlatitudestomid-latitudesinthetypicalstrongyears,andtheoscillationstrengthofdiabaticheatingismuchstrongerthanthatintheweakyearsoftherainfallISO.TheanomalycharacteristicsoftherainfallISOshowanti-phasesbetweentheYangtzeRiverbasinandsouthofChina.AsforthetypicalstrongyearsoftherainfallISOintheYangtzeRiverbasin(EOFmode2),themainoscillationcenterofwatervaporisintheeastofChina(20-30°N,110-130°E).Inthepeak(break)phaseoftherainfalloscillation,alow-frequencycyclone(anticyclone)isintheYangtzeRiverbasinandananticyclone(cyclone)isnearTaiwanIsland.Inaddition,thepeakrainfallcorrespondstotheheatsourceintheYangtzeRiverbasinandtheheatsinkintheQinghai-TibetPlateau.AsforthetypicalstrongyearsoftherainfallISOinthesouthofChina,themainoscillationcenterofwatervaporissouthof20°N.Inthepeak(break)phaseoftherainfallISO,alow-frequencycyclone(anticyclone)isinthesouthofChinaandananticyclone(cyclone)isinthePhilippines.ThepeakrainfallcorrespondstotheheatsourceinthesouthofChinaandtheSouthChinaSea,andtheheatsinkinthewestofIndochina.

  • 标签: 热带气象 气象学 天气学 气团
  • 简介:Theatmosphericintraseasonaloscillation(ISO)anditsinterannualvariabilityaresimulatedbytheatmosphericgeneralcirculationmodel,whichwasdevelopedattheInstituteofAtmosphericPhysics.Twonumericalexperimentswereperformed,correspondingtotheAMIP-IandAMIP-IIsimulations,respectively.Themodelreasonablyreproducesthemajoraspectsoftheintraseasonaloscillation,includingthepropagatingpropertyandtheseasonaldifferencesinthetropics,thewavenumberstructureofISOintheglobe,andtheglobalcoincidenceintheinterannualvariationofISO.Comparisonoftheresultsbetweenthetwoexperimentssuggeststhatimprovementoftheboundaryforcingorconsideringtheair-seainteractionmayhelptoimprovethesimulationontheISOanditsinterannualvariability.

  • 标签: simulation INTRASEASONAL OSCILLATION (ISO) COINCIDENCE
  • 简介:Basedonmonthlyrainfalldatafrom80stationsofChinafortheperiodofJanuary1951—February1985analysedintermsofthemaximumentropyspectrumandEEOF(extendedempiricalorthogonalfunction)techniques,thespatialandtemporalfeaturesofquasi-biennialoscillation(QBO)intherainfallareinvestigatedinadetailedmanner,withsomeresultsofinterestacquired.HighlyevidentistheQBOinrainfalloverChina,especiallythemidandlowerreachesoftheChangjiangRiver,theNEsideoftheQinghai-XizangPlateau,NorthChina,thesouthernpartofNEChina,areassouthoftheChangjiangRiverandoftheNanlingmountainregion,andmostofXinjiang.ThespatialwavedescribedbythefirstandsecondeigenvectorsofEEOFforeasternChinaisatypeofwavetravellingfromNEtoSW,indicatingthecycleofpatterns(inthesouthtonorthdirection):dryness(D)-wetness(W)-dryness(D)→southernW-northernslightD→W-D-W→southernD-northernslightW→D-W-Dagain,withthefloodedregionbetweentheChangjiangandHuangheRiversfortheD-W-DoccurrenceandwiththeChangjiangRiverasthedivisionforthesouthernW-northernslightDhappening.Thethirdandfourtheigenvectorsshowastandingwave-likefeatureforthesameeasternpart,indicatingthecycleofD-W-D→transition→W-D-W→transition→D-W-D,again,wherethetransitionmeansthegeneralweakeningofdroughtandfloodingandtheirsubsequentreversaldevelopment.Theamplitudesofthetimecoefficientsofthefirsttwoeigenvectorsareoppositeinthetrendoftheirchangestothoseofthenexttwoandshowaperiodof10—14years.

  • 标签: QBO PRECIPITATION EEOF
  • 简介:PhasecompositeanalysesareconductedtoinvestigatethepossibleeffectoftheMadden–Julianoscillation(MJO)onthespringrainfallanomaliesinEastChinabyusingtheReal-timeMultivariateMJO(RMM)indexfromAustralianMeteorologicalBureau.Theresultsshowthattherainfallanomaliesoverthemid-andlower-valleyofYangtzeRiverarepositivewhentheMJOshiftseastwardtothemid-andeastern-IndianOcean,andanomalousprecipitationoverSouthChinaarepositivewhentheMJOmovesfurthereastwardtothemaritimecontinent,whereasspringrainfallanomaliesoverEastChinaarenegativeintheotherMJOepisodes.TheMJOimpactsontheprecipitationoverEastChinaresultfromthechangesinlarge-scaleatmosphericcirculationaswellasvorticityandwatervaportransportationinthemid-andlower-troposphere.

  • 标签: MJO activities spring precipitation over East
  • 简介:ThisstudyusesNCEP/NCARdailyreanalysisdata,NOAAoutgoinglong-waveradiation(OLR)data,thereal-timemultivariateMJO(RMM)indexfromtheAustralianBureauofMeteorologyandTibetanPlateauvortex(TPV)datafromtheChengduInstituteofPlateauMeteorologytodiscussmodulationoftheMadden-JulianOscillation(MJO)ontheTibetanPlateauVortex(TPV).Waveletandcompositeanalysisareused.ResultsshowthattheMJOplaysanimportantroleintheoccurrenceoftheTPVthatthenumberofTPVsgeneratedwithinanactiveperiodoftheMJOisthreetimesasmuchasthatduringaninactiveperiod.Inaddition,duringtheactiveperiod,thenumberoftheTPVsgeneratedinphases1and2islargerthanthatinphases3and7.Aftercompositingphases1and7separately,allmeteorologicalelementsinphase1areapparentlyconducivetothegenerationoftheTPV,whereasthoseinphase7aresomewhatconstrained.Withitseastwardpropagationprocess,theMJOconvectioncentrespreadseastward,andtheverticalcirculationwithinthetropicalatmospherechanges.Duetotheinteractionbetweenthemid-latitudeandlow-latitudeatmosphere,changesoccurinthebarocliniccharacteristicsoftheatmosphere,theavailablepotentialenergyandeddyavailablepotentialenergyoftheatmosphere,andthecirculationstructuresoftheatmosphereovertheTibetanPlateau(TP)andsurroundingareas.Thisresultsinsignificantlydifferentwatervapourtransportationandlatentheatdistribution.Advantageousanddisadvantageousconditionsthereforealternate,leadingtoasignificantdifferenceamongthenumbersofplateauvortexindifferentphases.

  • 标签: MODULATION wavelet analysis composite analysis low-frequency oscillation Tibetan Plateau vortex real-time multivariate MJO index
  • 简介:IthaslongbeenacknowledgedthattherearetwotypesofElNioevents,i.e.,theeasternPacificElNio(EE)andthecentralPacificElNio(CE),accordingtotheinitialpositionoftheanomalouswarmwateranditspropagationdirection.Inthispaper,theoceanicandatmosphericevolutionsandthepossiblemechanismsofthetwotypesofElNioeventswereexamined.ItisfoundthatalltheElNioevents,CEorEE,couldbeattributedtothejointimpactsoftheeastwardadvectionofwarmwaterfromthewesternPacificwarmpool(WPWP)andthelocalwarmingintheequatorialeasternPacific.BeforetheoccurrenceofCEevents,WPWPhadlongbeeninastateofbeinganomalouswarm,sothestrengthofeastwardadvectionofwarmwaterwasmuchstrongerthanthatofEE,whichplayedamajorroleintheformationofCE.WhilefortheEEevents,mostcontributioncamefromthelocalwarmingoftheequatorialeasternPacific.ItisfurtheridentifiedthattheimmediatecauseleadingtothedifferenceofthetwotypesofElNioeventswastheasynchronousvariationsoftheSouthernOscillation(SO)andtheNorthernOscillation(NO)asdefinedbyChenin1984.WhenthetransitionfromthepositivephaseoftheNO(NO+)toNO-waspriortothatfromSO+toSO-,therewouldbeeastwardpropagationofwesterlyanomaliesfromthetropicalwesternPacificinducedbyNOandhencethegrowthofwarmseasurfacetemperatureanomaliesinWPWPanditseastwardpropagation.ThiswasfollowedbylaggedSO-inducedweakeningofsoutheasttradewindsandlocalwarmingintheequatorialeasternPacific.ThesewereconducivetotheoccurrenceoftheCE.Onthecontrary,thetransitionfromSO+toSO-leadingthetransitionofNOwouldfavortheoccurrenceofEEtypeevents.

  • 标签: 厄尔尼诺 类型 赤道东太平洋 连接 振荡 传播方向
  • 简介:我们调查了之间的差别同温层(S类型)并且在intraseasonal时间的tropospheric(T类型)北极摆动(AO)事件可伸缩,以他们对表面空气温度的影响(坐)在北半球和与他们的空间结构联系的动态特征上。S类型AO事件证明一个平流层对流层联合了结构,当T类型事件展出了一个平流层对流层时解开的结构。在北半球上的环形的容纳的异例被发现与S类型AO事件被联系,而如此的一个环形的特征是实质地在T类型AO事件的destructed。在二种类型的对流层的不同水平结构能主要被归因于强迫的短暂旋涡反馈。至于Ttype事件的垂直地解开的结构,把他们区分开来与S类型事件的内在的动态特征在地带地限制的Rossby波浪的垂直繁殖躺着。在T类型事件,在一垂直波导存在的地方,地带地限制的Rossby波浪包能在东北亚洲上从重要高度异例发出,然后向上宣传进平流层。相反,如此的垂直繁殖不为S类型事件是明显的。在T类型事件从对流层与地带地限制的Rossby波浪的向上的注射联系的同温层的异例能进一步通过在climatological想PW和异常PW之间的干扰导致行星的波浪(PW)的异常垂直繁殖,导致最后的平流层对流层T类型事件的解开的结构。

  • 标签: 北极涛动 三维动态 ROSSBY波 垂直传播 耦合结构 类型
  • 简介:Basedonresearchesmadebytheauthorinrecentyears,discussionismadeofthequasi-40-dayoscillation(QDO)natureanditscharacteristicpropagation,withemphasisontheSouthernHemispheremill-latitudequasi-periodiccoldairforcingonthetropicalatmospherequasi-40-dayoscillationalongwithitseffectupontheNorthernHemispheresummermonsoon.Itisproposedthattheinteractionbetween,orlateralcouplingof,meridionalcirculationsystemsmayserveasthemechanismoftheoscillationpropagationinameridionaldirection.

  • 标签: monsoon latitude MERIDIONAL tropical OSCILLATION quasi
  • 简介:在在灰尘天气的半球和它的可能的角色的低频率摆动在2002在诺思中国上袭击事件作为案例研究被分析。结果证明阿留申群岛之土人Low在3060天的摆动上在南半球与环极涡旋被连接,与趋于加深可能对尘暴事件的产生有用的阿留申群岛之土人Low的弱环极涡旋。在这后面的可能的机制是吝啬的经向环流的内部半球的相互作用,与在东亚上的主要可变性。在在上面的水平对流层的南半球的高纬度的带的吝啬的偏午可以带北半球的,它然后在北半球影响地方性环流。因此,低频率摆动电视连接是在在诺思中国上在南半球发行量和灰尘事件之间联合的一个可能的连接。然而,内部低频率摆动的年变化是不清楚的。

  • 标签: 低频振荡 2002年 中国北部 沙尘暴 大气环流
  • 简介:Basedonobservationsandreanalysisdata,thecharacteristicsoftheevolutionofclimatologicalspringprecipitationoverSouthernChina(SPSC)andtheassociatedclimatologicalintraseasonaloscillation(CISO)andatmosphericcirculationarestudied.ResultsshowthatSPSCincreasesinanoscillatoryway.AlthoughtheevolutionofSPSCissimilarindifferentregions,therearealsodifferences.IndifferentregionsofSouthernChina,theonsetdatesoftherainseasonarefromthe12thto24thpentadandthepeakdatesareafterthe20thpentad.CISOisanimportantcomponentofSPSC,whichisnotonlystatisticallysignificant,butalsoaccompaniesadynamicallycoherentstructure.Thepeakwet/dryphaseofeachCISOcyclecorrespondstoasignificantrainfallincreasing/decreasingperiodandmodulatestheevolutionofSPSC.TherainfallgrowthinthesecondhalfofMarchandmid-Aprilistheresultofthemodulation.Thewet/dryphaseofCISOisaccompaniedbylow-levelconvergent(upper-leveldivergent)andcyclonic(anti-cyclonic)circulation,whichfavorsascendingmotiontodevelopoverSouthernChina.

  • 标签: spring precipitation over Southern China wavelet analysis climatological intraseasonal oscillation
  • 简介:动态、数字的方法被用来热强迫讨论大气的反应到SST。结果表演为行星的规模系统,热强迫能快速激动的站的SST稳定的大气的平衡状态回答,它被明显的大规模电视连接摆动在东方西方和南方北方方向描绘。为摘要的规模系统,SST热强迫主要使大气的低频率的摆动激动。在SST之间的某基本关系和动态过程热强迫和大气的反应模式被揭示,一些新观点被介绍。

  • 标签: SST FIELDS thermal FORCING OSCILLATION LOW-FREQUENCY
  • 简介:Byusingtheupper-winddatafromJuly1980toJune1983,thevariationsofthelow-frequencyoscillation(LFO)intheatmospherebeforeandduring1982ElNinohavebeeninvestigated.BeforetheElNino,theLFOpropagatesfromwesttoeastovertheequatoroftheEasternHemisphereandfromeasttowestover20°N.TheeastwardpropagatingLFOovertheequatorconsistsofzonalwavenumber1propagatingeastwardandzonalwavenumber2withacharacterofstationarywave.Theoscillationofzonalwavenumber2canmodulatetheoscillationstrength.AftertheonsetoftheElNino,thepropagatingdirectionsoftheLFOovertheequatorand20°NoftheEasternHemispherechangetobewestwardandeastward,respectively.TheLFOoverthewesternPacificweakensrapidlyandonecomingfrommiddleandhighlatitudespropagatestotheequator.Fromthephasecompositionsofstreamlinefieldsforthezonalwavenumber1ofequatorialwestwardpropa-gatirgLFO,itisfoundthattheatmosphericheatsourceintheequatoroftheeasternPacific(EEP)excitesaseriesoftheequatorialcyclonesandanticycloneswhichmovenorthwardandwestwardandformthewestwardpropagatingLFOovertheequator.Withthewavelengthof20000km,thiskindofequatorialwaveissimilartothemixingRossby-gravitywave.Initswestwardandnorthwardmovement,thecirculationinEastAsiaismodified.ThismaybethemechanismoftheinfluenceofElNinoontheclimateofChina.

  • 标签: El Nino LFO eastward PROPAGATION westward
  • 简介:TheworkisageneralsurveyusingSSTAdataoftheIndianOceanandofprecipitationat160Chineseweatherstationsover1951~1997(47years).ItrevealsthatthedipoleoscillationofSST,especiallythedipoleindexofMarch~May,intheeasternandwesternpartsoftheoceancorrelateswellwiththeprecipitationduringtheJune~AugustrainingseasoninChina.Asshowninanalysisof500-hPaNorthernHemispheregeopotentialheightheightbyNCEPfor1958~1995,theIndianOceandipoleindex(IODI)iscloselyrelatedwithgeopotentialheightanomaliesinthemiddle-andhigher-latitudesintheEurasianregion.AsanegativephaseyearofIODIcorrespondstosignificantPacific-Japan(PJ)wavetrain,itishighlylikelythattheSSTforthedipolemayaffecttheprecipitationinChinathroughthewavetrain.Additionally,correlationanalysisoflinksbetweenSSTdipoleindexoftheIndianOceanregionandairtemperatureinChinaalsoshowsgoodcorrelationbetweentheformerandwintertimetemperatureinsouthernChina.

  • 标签: 印度洋 海洋表面温度 降水 温度 中国气象站 相关分析
  • 简介:Diagnosticstudieshavebeendoneoftheseasonalandinterdecadalvariationsofthecouplingpatternsfortheair-seainteractionsinthenorthernpacificregion.byusing500-hpageotentialhightfieldoftheNorthernHemisphereandmonthlymeanSSTfieldofnorthernPacificOcean(1951~1995)andwiththeaidoftheSingularValueDecomposition(SVD)technique.Theresultsshowthat:(1)ThedistributionpatternsofSVD,whichlinkwiththeE1Nino(orLaNina)events,areimportantintheinteractionbetweentheatmosphereandoceanwhiletheatmosphere,couplingwithit,varieslikethePNAteleconnectiondoes.Thecouplingofairseainteractionsisthehighestinthewinter(January),specificallylinkingtheE1NinoeventwiththePNApatterninthegeopotentialheightfield.Ofthefourseasons,summerhasthepoorestcouplingwhenthe500-hPageopotentialheightfieldcorrespondingtotheLaninaeventdisplayspatternssimilartotheEastAsian-Pacificone(PJ).Thespringandautumnarebothtransitionalandthecouplingislessthghtintheautumnthaninthespring.(2)Significantchangeshavetakenplacearound1976inthepatternofair-seacoupling,withtheyear'swinterhavingintensifiedPNApatternof500-hPawintergeopotentialheightfield,deepenedAleutianlowthatmovessoutheastandthesummerfollowingithavingoutstandingPJpatternof500-hPageopotentialheightfield,whichisnotsobefore1976.

  • 标签: 大气海洋相互作用 耦合模式 季节变化 纬度 海洋表面温度 太平洋
  • 简介:北方大西洋摆动(NAO)是在北半球的气候可变性的领先的模式之一。它清楚地在气象学的变量联系到变化,这被显示出,例如地面温度,在半球的规模。然而,最近的研究表明了NAO空间模式也取决于太阳的强迫。因此,它气象学的变量上的效果必须变化取决于这个因素。而且,它能是阳光通过可变性模式影响气候,是这研究的焦点的一个假设。我们发现在NAO/AO和半球的温度之间的关系变化取决于太阳活动。结果看积极重要关联太阳活动是否仅仅高。另外,结果支持那项太阳活动影响对流的想法在经由同温层的极的旋涡的变化的北半球的球的气候变化。

  • 标签: 太阳活动周期 北大西洋涛动 北半球 地面温度 相互关系
  • 简介:EarlystudiessuggestedthattheAleutian-Icelandiclowseesaw(AIS)featuresmultidecadalvariation.Inthisstudy,themultidecadalmodulationoftheAISandassociatedsurfaceclimatebytheAtlanticMultidecadalOscillation(AMO)duringlatewinter(February-March)isexploredwithobservationaldata.Itisshownthat,inthecoldphaseoftheAMO(AMOI-),aclearAISisestablished,whilethisisnotthecaseinthewarmphaseoftheAMO(AMO[+).ThesurfaceclimateoverEurasiaissignificantlyinfluencedbytheAMO'smodulationoftheAleutianlow(AL).Forexample,theweakALinAMOI-displayswarmersurfacetemperaturesovertheentireFarEastandalongtheRussianArcticcoastandintoNorthernEurope,butonlyovertheRussianFarEastinAMO{+.Similarly,precipitationdecreasesovercentralEuropewiththeweakALinAMOI-,butdecreasesovernorthernEuropeandincreasesoversouthernEuropeinAMOI+.

  • 标签: Aleutian-Icelandic LOW seesaw ATLANTIC Multidecadal Oscillation