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  • 简介:AbstractBackground:Nucleic acid test (NAT) could effectively control the spread of COVID-19 caused by large-scale sports competitions. However, quantitative analysis on the appropriate frequency of NAT is scarce, and the cost-effectiveness and necessity of high-frequency NAT remain to be fully explored and validated. This study aims to optimize the COVID-19 surveillance strategies through cost-effectiveness analysis for the Tokyo 2020 Olympic Games and the upcoming Beijing 2022 Olympic Winter Games.Methods:A total of 18 scenarios were designed regarding the NAT frequency, symptom monitoring, and strengthening close-contact control. An agent-based stochastic dynamic model was used to compare the cost-effectiveness of different NAT scenarios and optimize the surveillance strategies. The dynamics of the proposed model included the arrival and departure of agents, transmission of the disease according to Poisson processes, and quarantine of agents based on regular NATs and symptom onset. Accumulative infections, cost, and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) were simulated in the frame of the model. ICER was used to compare the cost-effectiveness of different scenarios. Univariate sensitivity analysis was performed to test the robustness of the results.Results:In Scenario 16, where the competition-related personnel (CRP) received NAT daily and national sports delegation (NSD) with quarantined infections accepted an additional NAT daily, accumulative infection was 320.90 (90 initial infections), the total cost was (United States Dollar) USD 8 920 000, and the cost of detecting out each infection was USD 27 800. Scenario 16 would reduce the total cost by USD 22 570 000 (avoid 569.61 infections), USD 1 420 000 (avoid 47.2 infections) compared with Scenario 10 (weekly NAT, strengthened close contact control) and Scenario 7 (daily NAT, no strengthened close contact control), respectively. Sensitivity analysis showed that the result was most sensitive to the change in basic reproductive number.Conclusions:High-frequency NATs such as bidaily, daily, and twice a day were cost-effective. NAT daily for CRP with strengthening close-contact control could be prioritized in defense against COVID-19 at large-scale sports competitions. This study could assist policymakers by assessing the cost-effectiveness of NAT scenarios and provide the host country with an optimal COVID-19 surveillance strategy.

  • 标签: Cost-effectiveness Sports competition Surveillance COVID-19 Nucleic acid test Stochastic dynamic model
  • 简介:决定经常在造的基础结构上对爆炸强风负担关于保护的措施的需要或程度被需要。决定支持分析考虑命运风险和以每生命在风险减小上花的期望的费用表示的保护的措施的划算为对基础结构的恐怖主义者威胁节省了。分析对基础结构的任何条款适用,但是在这,纸被用于从造上釉损坏的门面产生的伤亡。风险可能与在量的安全目标形式的风险接受标准相比。保护的措施的风险可接受程度和划算包括保护的措施的费用,攻击概率,在风险的减小由于保护的措施,在成功的恐怖主义者上有条件的命运的概率暴露的个人攻击并且数。

  • 标签: 风险评估 成本-利润分析 恐怖行为 决策分析
  • 简介:AbstractBackground:Continuing progress in the global pediatric human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) response depends on timely identification and care of infants with HIV. As countries scale-out improvements to HIV early infant diagnosis (EID), economic evaluations are needed to inform program design and implementation. This scoping review aimed to summarize the available evidence and discuss practical implications of cost and cost-effectiveness analyses of HIV EID.Methods:We systematically searched bibliographic databases (Embase, MEDLINE and EconLit) and grey literature for economic analyses of HIV EID in low- and middle-income countries published between January 2008 and June 2021. We extracted data on unit costs, cost savings, and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios as well as outcomes related to health and the HIV EID care process and summarized results in narrative and tabular formats. We converted unit costs to 2021 USD for easier comparison of costs across studies.Results:After title and abstract screening of 1278 records and full-text review of 99 records, we included 29 studies: 17 cost analyses and 12 model-based cost-effectiveness analyses. Unit costs were 21.46-51.80 USD for point-of-care EID tests and 16.21-42.73 USD for laboratory-based EID tests. All cost-effectiveness analyses stated at least one of the interventions evaluated to be cost-effective. Most studies reported costs of EID testing strategies; however, few studies assessed the same intervention or reported costs in the same way, making comparison of costs across studies challenging. Limited data availability of context-appropriate costs and outcomes of children with HIV as well as structural heterogeneity of cost-effectiveness modelling studies limits generalizability of economic analyses of HIV EID.Conclusions:The available cost and cost-effectiveness evidence for EID of HIV, while not directly comparable across studies, covers a broad range of interventions and suggests most interventions designed to improve EID are cost-effective or cost-saving. Further studies capturing costs and benefits of EID services as they are delivered in real-world settings are needed.

  • 标签: Cost effectiveness Diagnostics Low- and middle-income countries Point of care Early infant diagnosis Health systems
  • 简介:一天晚上,妻子在厨房准备晚餐的时候,我们的小儿子拿着一张纸走向他母亲。上面写道:

  • 标签: 高中 英语 双语阅读 对照读物
  • 简介:Someconceptualproblemswerediscussedinthepresentpaper,Firstly,accordingtothephysicalmeaningofeffectiveness,anewexpressionofeffectivenesswasdevelopedbyusinganidealheatexchnagermodelandtemperaturehistogrammethod,inwhichthenon-uniforminlettemperatureprofilewasconsidered.Secondly,therelationofentropygenerationnumbertoeffectivenesswasstudied,itwaspointedoutthatbothofthemcouldexpresstheperfectdegreeofaheatexchangertothesecondthermodynamiclaw.Finally,todescribebothquantityandqualityofheattransferredinaheatexchangeracriterionnamedascomperhensivethermalperformancecoefficient(CTPE)waspresented.

  • 标签: 热交换器 熵产生 效率
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