学科分类
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4 个结果
  • 简介:运用GregoryC.Chow早期提出的断点检验方法对我国2000年1月份至2016年4月份的CPI同比增长率数据进行断点检验,首先确定2002年10月份与2009年2月份为两个结构性断点,并据以对全样本分三个区间分别建立ARIMA模型,然后将2016年5、6、7月份最终的预测结果与实际值进行对比,发现由2002年10月份到2016年4月份所建立的ARIMA模型有着较高的预测精确度,该模型适用于短期通货膨胀预测,能为管理通胀预期提供依据。

  • 标签: CPI预测 断点检验 ARIMA模型 通胀预期
  • 简介:Inthecontextofthenewurbanization,thecharacteristictown,asanewhotspottodevelopingrapidlytoexploretheindustry,humanities,communityintegrationtownmodel,aurbanizationandhigh-techindustrydevelopmentbooster,bythegovernmentanddevelopersattention.Atthesametime,thegreendevelopmentmodelappliestothecharacteristictownofindustrialupgradingandtransformation,guidingthefuturecharacteristictownofgreeneconomicindustrydevelopmentdirection.Thispaperstudiesthegreendevelopmentmodelofthecharacteristictown,andputsforwardtheimplementationofthegreenindustrythroughthegreeningindustrystructure,promotinggreenconsumptionandoptimizingthegreenmanagement.

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  • 简介:Basedonthesurveyresearchofpovertycontrollingmodelof'ThreeDrives,FourJoints'inZhen’anCounty,itsformingmotives,implementingmechanism,andconstraintfactorshavebeenexploredtotestifyitsenlightenmentandapplicability,establishingapromotable,applicable,andeffectivepovertyalleviationmodel.'ThreeDrives,FourJoints'modelislinkedtothepoorwholacksabilityofself-development.Relyingonthedrivesfromkeyleadingcompanies,thecapableandtherich,acommunitywithsharedinterestsbythepoorandthesubjectsofthe'threedrives'couldbeformedthrough'JointProduction,JointResources,JointCommunityofStock,andJointOperation'.Thelinkedpovertyalleviationdevelopmentmodelof'theinfluentialandtherichbringalongthepoor'and'Arichhouseholdwouldhelptheothers'comeintobeing.Itisfoundoutthatthemodelof'ThreeDrives,FourJoints'isinessenceapovertyalleviationmethodfocusingontheincreaseoftheincomeanddiversifiedwaysofincreasingtheearnings.Problemsofpovertyalleviationcarrierandjointmechanismhavebeensolvedinthepovertyalleviationprocess.Themodelisinnovativeinactivatingtheresourceelements,helpingtomovethepooroutofpoverty.Areferential,copyable,andapplicablemodelisofferedtoadvancethepovertyalleviationinmountainousareasinChina.

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