简介:Theactivitiesofgeomagneticstormsaregenerallycontrolledbysolaractivities.Thecurrentsolarcycle(SC)24isfoundtobemild;comparedtoSCs19–23,thestormoccurrenceandsizederivedbyaveragingtheoccurrencenumberandDstaroundthesolarmaximumarereducedbyabout50–82%and36–61%,respectively.Weestimateseparately,forSC19to24,therepeatintervalsbetweengeomagneticstormsofspecificDst,basedonfitsofpower-lawandlog-normaldistributionstothestormdataforeachSC.RepeatintervalsbetweensupergeomagneticstormswithDst≤–250nTarefoundtobe0.36–2.95year(s)forSCs19–23,butabout20yearsbasedonthedataforSC24.Wealsoestimatetherepeatintervalsbetweencoronalmassejections(CMEs)ofspecificspeed(VCME)sinceCMEsareknowntobethemaindriversofintensestormsandtherelatedstatisticsmayprovideinformationaboutthepotentialoccurrenceofsupergeomagneticstormsfromthelocationoftheSun.OuranalysisfindsthataCMEwithVCME≥1860km/smayoccuronceper3and5monthsinSC23and24,respectively.BasedonaVCME-Dstrelationship,suchafastCMEmaycauseastormwithDst=–250nTifarrivingattheEarth.BycomparingtheobservedgeomagneticstormstostormsexpectedtobecausedbyCMEs,wederivetheprobabilityofCMEcausedstorms,whichisdependentonVCME.ForaCMEfasterthan1860km/s,theprobabilityofaCMEcausedstormwithDst≤–250nTisabout1/5forSC23or1/25forSC24.AlloftheaboveresultssuggestthatthelikelihoodoftheoccurrenceofsupergeomagneticstormsissignificantlyreducedinamildSC.
简介:这份报纸与错过反应数据的nonignorable考虑分发函数和quantiles的评价问题。三条途径被开发估计分发功能和quantiles,即,Horvtiz-Thompson-type方法,回归归罪方法和扩充反的概率加权的途径。倾向分数被semiparametric指定指数的倾斜模型。为了在倾向估计倾斜的参数,得分,作者建议一个调整实验可能性的方法处理过去识别的系统。在一些常规条件下面,作者调查asymptotic性质为分发功能和quantiles建议了三个评估者,并且发现这些评估者有一样的asymptotic变化。大折刀方法被采用一致地估计asymptotic变化。模拟研究被进行调查建议方法论的有限样品表演。
简介:Inthispaper,weconsidertheempiricallikelihood-basedinferencesforvaryingcoefficientmodelsY=X~τα(U)+εwhenXaresubjecttomissingatrandom.Basedontheinverseprobability-weightedidea,aclassofempiricallog-likelihoodratios,aswellastwomaximumempiricallikelihoodestimators,aredevelopedforα(u).Theresultingstatisticsareshowntohavestandardchi-squaredornormaldistributionsasymptotically.Simulationstudiesarealsoconstructedtoillustratethefinitesamplepropertiesoftheproposedstatistics.
简介:ConsidertwolinearmodelsXi=U′iβ+εi,Yj=Vj′γ+ηjwithresponsevariablesmissingatrandom.Inthispaper,weassumethatX,Yaremissingatrandom(MAR)andusetheinverseprobabilityweightedimputationtoproduce‘complete’datasetsforXandY.Basedonthesedatasets,weconstructanempiricallikelihood(EL)statisticforthedifferenceofXandY(denotedas?),andshowthattheELstatistichasthelimitingdistributionofχ21,whichisusedtoconstructaconfidenceintervalfor?.ResultsofasimulationstudyonthefinitesampleperformanceofEL-basedconfidenceintervalson?arereported.
简介:Missingdataandtime-dependentcovariatesoftenarisesimultaneouslyinlongitudinalstudies,anddirectlyapplyingclassicalapproachesmayresultinalossofefficiencyandbiasedestimates.Todealwiththisproblem,weproposeweightedcorrectedestimatingequationsunderthemissingatrandommechanism,followedbydevelopingashrinkageempiricallikelihoodestimationapproachfortheparametersofinterestwhentime-dependentcovariatesarepresent.Suchprocedureimprovesefficiencyovergeneralizedestimationequationsapproachwithworkingindependentassumption,viacombiningtheindependentestimatingequationsandtheextractedadditionalinformationfromtheestimatingequationsthatareexcludedbytheindependenceassumption.Thecontributionfromtheremainingestimatingequationsisweightedaccordingtothelikelihoodofeachequationbeingaconsistentestimatingequationandtheinformationitcarries.Weshowthattheestimatorsareasymptoticallynormallydistributedandtheempiricallikelihoodratiostatisticanditsprofilecounterpartfollowcentralchi-squaredistributionsasymptoticallywhenevaluatedatthetrueparameter.Thepracticalperformanceofourapproachisdemonstratedthroughnumericalsimulationsanddataanalysis.
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简介:Duetotheopennessofthecognitiveradionetwork,spectrumsensingdatafalsification(SSDF)canattackthespectrumsensingeasily,whilethereisnoeffectivealgorithmproposedincurrentresearchwork,sothispaperintroducesthemalicioususersremovingtotheweightsequentialprobabilityradiotest(WSPRT).Theterminals'weightisweightedbytheaccuracyoftheirspectrumsensinginformation,whichcanalsobeusedtodetectthemalicioususer.Ifoneterminalownsalowweight,itcanbetreatedasmalicioususer,andshouldberemovedfromtheaggregationcenter.SimulationresultsshowthattheimprovedWSPRTcanachievehigherperformancecomparedwiththeothertwoconventionalsequentialdetectionmethodsunderdifferentnumberofmalicioususers.
简介:Toestimatethespreadingsequenceofthedirectsequencespreadspectrum(DSSS)signal,afastalgorithmbasedonmaximumlikelihoodfunctionisproposed,andthetheoreticalderivationofthealgorithmisprovided.Bysimplifyingtheobjectivefunctionofmaximumlikelihoodestimation,thealgorithmcanrealizesequencesynchronizationandsequenceestimationviaadaptiveiterationandslidingwindow.Sinceitavoidsthecorrelationmatrixcomputation,thealgorithmsignificantlyreducesthestoragerequirementandthecomputationcomplexity.Simulationsshowthatitisafastconvergentalgorithm,andcanperformwellinlowsignaltonoiseratio(SNR).
简介:Inthispaper,wenotonlyconstructtheconfidenceregionforparametersinamixedinteger-valuedautoregressiveprocessusingtheempiricallikelihoodmethod,butalsoestablishtheempiricallog-likelihoodratiostatisticandobtainitslimitingdistribution.Andthen,viasimulationstudieswegivecoverageprobabilitiesfortheparametersofinterest.Theresultsshowthattheempiricallikelihoodmethodperformsverywell.
简介:Theauthorsstudytheempiricallikelihoodmethodforpartiallylinearerrors-in-variablesmodelwithcovariatedatamissingatrandom.Empiricallikelihoodratiosfortheregressioncoefficientsandthebaselinefunctionareinvestigated,andthecorrespondingempiricallog-likelihoodratiosareprovedtobeasymptoticallystandardchi-squared,whichcanbeusedtoconstructconfidenceregions.Thefinitesamplebehavioroftheproposedmethodsisevaluatedbyasimulationstudywhichindicatesthattheproposedmethodsarecomparableintermsofcoverageprobabilitiesandaveragelengthofconfidenceintervals.Finally,theEarthquakeMagnitudedatasetisusedtoillustrateourproposedmethod.
简介:Inthisarticle,weconsideralifetimedistribution,theWeibull-Logarithmicdistributionintroducedby[6].Weinvestigatesomenewstatisticalcharacterizationsandproperties.WedevelopthemaximumlikelihoodinferenceusingEMalgorithm.AsymptoticpropertiesoftheMLEsareobtainedandextensivesimulationsareconductedtoassesstheperformanceofparameterestimation.Anumericalexampleisusedtoillustratetheapplication.
简介:Blindidentification-blindequalizationforFiniteImpulseResponse(FIR)MultipleInput-MultipleOutput(MIMO)channelscanbereformulatedastheproblemofblindsourcesseparation.Ithasbeenshownthatblindidentificationviadecorrelatingsub-channelsmethodcouldrecovertheinputsources.TheBlindIdentificationviaDecorrelatingSub-channels(BIDS)algorithmfirstconstructsasetofdecorrelators,whichdecorrelatetheoutputsignalsofsubchannels,andthenestimatesthechannelmatrixusingthetransferfunctionsofthedecorrelatorsandfinallyrecoverstheinputsignalusingtheestimatedchannelmatrix.Inthispaper,anewapproximationoftheinputsourceforFIR-MIMOchannelsbasedonthemaximumlikelihoodsourceseparationmethodisproposed.TheproposedmethodoutperformsBIDSinthepresenceofadditivewhiteGaussiannoise.
简介:Epidemiologicstudiesuseoutcome-dependentsampling(ODS)schemeswhere,inadditiontoasimplerandomsample,therearealsoanumberofsupplementsamplesthatarecollectedbasedonoutcomevariable.ODSschemeisacost-effectivewaytoimprovestudyefficiency.Wedevelopamaximumsemiparametricempiricallikelihoodestimation(MSELE)fordatafromatwo-stageODSschemeundertheassumptionthatgivencovariate,theoutcomefollowsagenerallinearmodel.Theinformationofbothvalidationsamplesandnonvalidationsamplesareused.Whatismore,weprovetheasymptoticpropertiesoftheproposedMSELE.