简介:ANINFERENCEOFTHETEMPERATUREINTHE13THCENTURYOFCHINAZhangDe’e(张德二)CenterforClimaticResearchEXTENDEDABSTRACTSincethethermaloptim...
简介:Long-termintegrationsareconductedusingtheSpectralAtmosphericModel(referredtoasSAMIL),whichwasdevelopedintheLaboratoryforNumericalModelingforAtmosphericSciencesandGeophysicalFluidDynamics(LASG)intheInstituteofAtmosphericPhysics(IAP),withdifferentresolutionstoinves-tigatesensitivityoftheMadden-JulianOscillation(MJO)simulationstothemodel'sresolution(horizontalandvertical).Threeresolutionsofthemodel,R15L9,R42L9andR42L26,withidenticalphysicalprocesses,allproducedthebasicobservedfeaturesoftheMJO,includingthespatiotemporalspace-timespectraandeastwardpropagation.Nofundamentaldifferencesamongthesesimulationswerefound.ThisindicatesthatthemodelresolutionisnotadeterminingfactorforsimulatingtheMJO.Detaileddifferencesamongthesemodelingresultssuggest,however,thatmodelresolutioncansubstantiallyaffectthesimulatedMJOincertainaspects.Forinstance,atalowerhorizontalresolution,highfrequencydisturbanceswereweakerandthestructuresofthesimulatedMJOwerebetterdefinedtoacertainextent.AhigherverticalresolutionledtoamorerealisticspatiotemporalspectrumandspatialdistributionofMJOprecipitation.Meanwhile,increasingthemodel'sresolutionimprovedsimulationoftheclimatology.However,increasingtheresolutionshouldbebasedonimprovingthecumulusparameterizationscheme.
简介:一座大楼城市的流动上的密度的效果与RNGκ用一个CFD模型被调查-ɛ骚乱闭合计划。有不同的造的27个案例是密度参数(例如,大楼和街峡谷纵横比)数字地被模仿。当大楼的密度参数变化,不同流动政体出现。当街峡谷相对狭窄、高时,在垂直方向的二个相反旋转的旋涡被产生。沿着街的风速被大楼的长度主要影响。然而,以一座单个大楼的密度参数发现或概括街峡谷流动的特征是很困难的。这是因为复杂流动模式由于旋涡结构和旋涡数字的变化出现。平均卷的涡度大小是很好的指示物尽管有流动的强壮的相关性,在大楼的密度参数的变化上反映流动特征。平均卷的涡度大小是大楼的长度和街峡谷宽度的强壮的功能的多线性的回归表演。大楼的长度的增加减少街峡谷的涡度流动,当时,在街上,峡谷宽度增加的增加涡度。
简介:2004台风Aere的降水的结构的特征从测量国家航空学空间管理(NASA)的使命(TRMM)的热带降雨用高分辨率的数据被分析。台风的特征在它的发展的不同阶段变化,这被发现。分析降水分发的不对称的引起,从环境预言(NCEP)分析的国家中心的数据被用来计算水蒸汽流动向量的垂直积分。因为这个过程,结果显示出那,与成双台风的循环的唯一的现象一起,在东方台风的北方面的空气电流和它的南部的方面的西南的空气水流在搬运水起一个联合作用蒸汽。而且,它的运输效果在开发的不同阶段极大地变化,显示出为这台风进程的水来源的怪癖。由重降水和水蒸汽流动的一个最大值的区域描绘区域的台风传送对流的分布,以及在台风的发展的不同阶段的强壮的上升运动区域不同。水蒸汽流动和垂直运动的不一致的分发引起台风降水的不均匀的分发。
简介:BasedonChina’sobservationaldatain1951-1990,afterminimizingthepossiblebiasescausedbystationrelocationandurbanheatisland,thespatialandtemporaldistributionsoftrendsformaximumandminimumtemperaturesarestudied.Theresultsshowthatincreasingtrendsofmaximumtemperaturesareintheareaswestto95°E,andnorthtotheHuanghe(Yellow)River,whiledecreasingtrendsexistineasternChinasouthtotheYellowRiver.MinimumtemperaturesaregenerallyincreasingthroughoutChina,withdominantwarmingtrendsatthehigherlatitudes.Thisresultedinveryobviousdecreasingtrendsindiurnaltemperatureranges.Theperiodiccyclesareconsistentbetweenthemaximumandminimumtemperatures,butasymmetrictrendsareveryobvious.Thesignificantincreaseofminimum(nighttime)temperaturesreflectstheevidenceofenhancementofgreenhouseeffect.Furtheranalysisshowsthatthechangesofmaximumandminimumtemperaturesaremainlyrelatedtosunshinedurationandatmosphericwatervaporcontent.
简介:Thesimplelinearrelationshipbetweenclear-skyplanetaryandsurfacealbedocanbeadoptedforcertainaccuracy.Therearedifferentparameterizationschemesofatmosphericcorrectionfordifferentretrievalmodels.Inthispaper,severalrepresentativeretrievalmodelsarecomparedandtestedwithobservationaldatafromHEIhebasinFieldExperiment(HEIFE)inwesternChina.Someevaluationsandsuggestionsonimprovementareproposedformodelswhichwouldbemoreapplicabletoplateauandaridareas.
简介:Itispresentedthatthereisapumpingeffectatitsbaseinthedevelopmentprocessofacumulus.Inthestrongeststageofcumulusdevelopment,thepumpingismainlyproducedbythebuoyanceatthebase,andmaybetakenasthefirstapproximationoftheascendingspeedatthebase.Theresultsofnumericalcalculationsandsimulationsoffourobservedradarechoesshowthatasthefirstapproximation,theheightofair-masscumulusmaybesimulatedbyHaltinermodelintheabsenceofob-servedascendingspeedsatthebase,andtheHaltinermodelcanbecharacterizedbythesensitivityofthecumulusdevelopmenttothevirtualtemperatureexcessoverenvironmentatthebase.
简介:ThisworkinvestigatesthedistributionofhighwindsaboveBeaufortscale6intheoffshorezonesofChinausinghigh-resolutionsatellitemeasurements.AnumericalexperimentiscarriedoutinordertofindouttheeffectsofTaiwanIslandontheformationofstrongwinds.Theanalysisindicatesthatthedistributionofhighwindoccurrenceissimilartothatoftheaveragewindvelocityinwinter.Highwindstendtobeanchoredinspecialtopographicalregions,suchastheTaiwanStrait,theBashiChannelandthesoutheastcoastofVietnam.HighwindsoccurmuchmorefrequentlyoverthewarmerthanthecolderflankofKuroshiofrontasitmeandersfromTaiwantoJapan.Thefrequencyofhighwindsdecreasesdrasticallyinspring.TheTaiwanStraitmaintainsthelargesthighwindoccurrence.Besides,highwindsremainfrequentintheBashiChannel,thesoutheasttipofTaiwanIslandandthewarmerflankofKuroshiofront.Insummer,highwindsgenerallyoccurinfrequentlyexceptoverabroadregionoffthesoutheastcoastofVietnamnear10°Nandthefrequencytheredecreasesfromsouthwesttonortheast.HighwindsaroundTaiwanIslandpresentnearaxisymmetricdistributionwithlargerfrequencyalongsoutheast-northwestdirectionandsmallerfrequencyalongsouthwest-northeastdirection.Thedominantdirectionofhighwindsexhibitsacounterclockwisecirculationsurroundingtheisland.Thefrequencyofhighwindsincreasesrapidlyinautumnandalmostrepeatsthedistributionthatappearsinwinter.ThesimulationresultssuggestthattheeffectsofTaiwanIslandtopographyonhighwindsvarywithseasons.Inwinter,topographyisthemajorcauseofhighwindsinthesurroundingoceaniczones.HighwindsinbothTaiwanStraitandthesoutheastcorneroftheislanddisappearandthefrequencydecreasesgraduallyfromsouthtonorthwhentheterrainisremoved.However,insummer,highwindfrequencyderivedfromtwosimulationswithandwithoutterrainisalmostidentical.Weattributethisphenomenontothefactorswhicharerespon
简介:利用天气图等实况资料,针对2005年8月13日抚顺大暴雨天气过程,从环流形势特征、不稳定能量、水汽和动力条件等方面入手,寻找形成强降水的物理背景,并对云团演变过程、数值预报产品应用和特殊地形对降水的影响进行分析,探讨降水过程的天气系统演变特征及发生、发展的物理机制,以提高对此类型暴雨天气的认识和预报能力。结果表明:西风槽东移、热带风暴北移,促使副热带高压北上,建立了低空急流;低空急流为大暴雨输送大量水汽和不稳定能量;切变线东南移,携带冷空气与副热带高压边缘不稳定能量在抚顺交汇,对流云团得到强烈发展,触发了副热带高压边缘不稳定能量的释放,因此形成了大暴雨天气;地形辐合抬升。对降水起到了增强作用。
简介:利用常规气象观测资料、区域自动站加密观测资料和GFS0.5°×0.5°逐6h的分析场数据以及多普勒雷达、风云卫星资料,对2013年9月13日浙江北部一次强对流天气过程的特征及其成因进行了中尺度分析,结果表明,受西太副高西北部边缘的暖湿西南气流和东移高空槽的共同影响,引发了浙江北部的强对流天气。在有利的大尺度环境场和物理量场配合下,当低层925hPa的中尺度辐合线和对流层中层700hPa的垂直上升运动区相重合时,中尺度辐合线附近会产生强对流,这对强对流的发生发展具有一定的预报指示意义。此次过程中强对流天气与雷达回波中心对应良好,中尺度辐合线基本与对流发生发展相对应,辐合线周边区域是强天气容易发生发展的区域,辐合线先于降水出现,随后在辐合线周边出现了强降水和大风天气。
简介:ThedistributionofmonthlymeanerrorofNMCmodelforecastsanditsseasonalvariationareinvesti-gated.Theratioofmonthlymeanerrortostandarddeviationisusedheretofindoutthattheregionwhereacorrectionofsystematicerrorisneededandappropriateismainlyinlowlatitudes.Theimprovement,afterthemodel’sverticalresolutionandsomephysicalparameterswerechangedfromApril1985,isinvestigated,andtheNMCoperationalmodelforecastshavealsocomparedwiththoseofECMWF.