简介:Macroscopicanomaliesfrom"EarthquakeCasesinChina"arestatisticallyanalyzedinthispaper.Theconclusionisasfollows:Theprobabilityofoccurrenceofmacroscopicanomaliesbeforeearthquakesincreaseswithmagnitude.Thelargertheearthquakemagnitude,themoremacroscopicanomaliesappear.Thetemporaldistributionofmacroscopicanomaliesisasfollows:Therearefewmacroscopicanomaliesatbeginning;astimegoeson,thenumberofmacroscopicanomaliesincreases;theincreaseofmacroscopicanomalyquantityaccelerateswiththeimpendingearthquakeandreachesaclimaxwhentheearthquakebreaksout.Thespatialdistributionpatternofmacroscopicanomaliesisasfollows:macroscopicanomaliesappearattheepicenteratthebeginning,thenspreadout,andfinallyariseexplosivelyattheepicenterarea.
简介:Accordingtotheresultsofsiteseismichazardanalysisaccomplishedinthepastdecades,96site-relateddesignspectraareselectedassamplesinthisstudy.Theresultshowsthatthevalueofthecornerperiod(Tg)ofthedesignspectruminGBJ11-89(ChinaSeismicBuildingCode,issuedin1989)islowerthanthevalueobtainedbysiteseismichazardanalysis.ThesamesituationexistswhenwecomparethedesignspectraoftheCodestothespectraaccordingtotheearthquakerecords.Thevalueincurrentseismicdesigncode,GBJ50011-2001issuedin2001,isgreaterthanthatinGBJ11-89,butstilllessthanthevalueobtainedbysiteseismichazardanalysis.Ifweacceptthevaluegotbysiteseismichazardanalysis,wehaveasuspicionthat2/3ofbuildingsbuiltaccordingtoGBJ11-89willnotbesafewhenanearthquakewith2%probabilityofexceedancein50yearsoccurs.
简介:AstatisticalanalysisoftectonicenvironmentforM≥6.0strongearthquakesinChina'scontinentsincethebeginningofrecordedhistoryisperformedbasedonthedataofactivefaultsstudiedduringlast10yearsandresultofcompilationofthefourthversionoftheMapofSeismicRegionalizationofChinaforEarthquakeProtection.Tectonictypesofseismicsourcesofstrongearthquakesinallseismicregionsandthemovementmodesofseismogenicstructuresarediscussed.Meanwhile,ananalysisoflengthsofsurfacerupturezonesproducedbyalltypesofearthquakes,orientationsoflongaxesofmeizoseismalareas,regionaltectonicstressfieldsinseismicsourceregionsforstrongearthquakes,geophysicalfields(gravityanomaly,highconductivitylayeranomaly,andterrestrialheatflowdensity),andrecentverticalcrustaldeformationfieldshavebeencarriedout.
简介:ThispaperisrelatedtostudyoftheiondensityrecordedbythelowaltitudesatelliteDEMETER.Itwillpresentionosphericperturbationsobservedduringlargeseismicevents.Astheionosphereishighlyvariable,thepaperwillshowastatisticalanalysisperformedontheplasmaparametersduringnighttime.Analgorithmhasbeenimplementedtodetectcrestsandtroughsinthedatabeforeworld-wideearthquakes.Theearthquakeshavebeenclassifieddependingontheirmagnitude,depth,andlocation(land,belowthesea,closetoacoast).Duetotheorbit,DEMETERreturnsabovethesameareaeveryday(onceduringdaytime,onceduringnighttime)butnotatthesamedistanceofagivenepicenter.Then,foreachearthquake,datahavebeencheckeduntil15daysbeforetheshockwhenthedistancebetweenthetraceoftheorbitandtheepicenterislessthan1500km.Theresultsofthestatisticalanalysisarepresentedasfunctionsofvariousparameters.Acomparisonisdonewithtwootherdatabaseswhere,ononehand,thelocationoftheepicentershasbeenrandomlymodified,andontheotherhand,thelongitudeoftheepicentershasbeenshifted.Resultsshowthatthenumberandtheintensityoftheionosphericperturbationsarelargerpriortoearthquakesthanpriortorandomevents,andthattheperturbationsincreasewiththemagnitude.
简介:AstatisticalanalysisontheWenchuanaftershockactivitytriggeredbytidalforcesissystematicallystudiedbasedonSchusterstest,includingearthquakestriggeredbytidalforce,tidalstressandtidalcoulombfailurestress.TheresultsshowthatagroupofstrongaftershockswhichoccurredattheendofJulytoearlyAugustin2008atthenorthofWenchuanwereobviouslytriggeredbyearthtide,thesameconclusionisdrawnbySchusterssmoothtestofthetidalforce,tidalstressandtidalcoulombfailurestress.Inaddition,theWenchuanaftershockactivityisobviouslytriggeredbyfortnighttide.Inthenorth,theaftershockshappenedmorefrequentlyinthefirstandlastquartersofthemoon,andinthesouth,theaftershockshappenedmorefrequentlyinthefirstandlastquartersofthemoonandduringthefullmoon.
简介:Applicationofmechanicalandstatisticalmodelstothestudyofseismicityofsyn-theticearthquakesandthepredictionofnaturalonesYAO-LINS...
简介:Anovelstructuraldamagedetectionmethodwithanewdamageindex,i.e.,thestatisticalmoment-baseddamagedetection(SMBDD)methodinthefrequencydomain,hasbeenrecentlyproposed.TheaimofthisstudyistoextendtheSMBDDmethodinthefrequencydomaintothetimedomainforbuildingstructuressubjectedtonon-Gaussianandnon-stationaryexcitations.TheapplicabilityandeffectivenessoftheSMBDDmethodinthetimedomainisverifiedbothnumericallyandexperimentally.Shearbuildingswithvariousdamagescenariosarefirstnumericallyinvestigatedinthetimedomaintakingintoaccounttheeffectofmeasurementnoise.Theapplicabilityoftheproposedmethodinthetimedomaintobuildingstructuressubjectedtonon-Gaussianandnon-stationaryexcitationsisthenexperimentallyinvestigatedthroughaseriesofshakingtabletests,inwhichtwothree-storyshearbuildingmodelswithfourdamagescenariosaretested.Theidentifieddamagelocationsandseveritiesarethencomparedwiththepresetvalues.Thecomparativeresultsarefoundtobesatisfactory,andtheSMBDDmethodisshowntobefeasibleandeffectiveforbuildingstructuressubjectedtonon-Gaussianandnon-stationaryexcitations.
简介:弄弯的钢桥通常在这些结构的网络和更多继续在美国设计并且造的交通在交换被使用。尽管这些桥的使用继续在高经历seismicity的地点增加,他们的地震行为上的弯曲和另外的参数的效果在当前的风险评价工具中被忽视了。这些工具能用脆弱曲线评估一个交通网络的地震危险。为弄弯的钢桥的脆弱曲线开发的一个批评部件是帮助识别与他们的地震反应有关的有影响的参数的敏感分析的结束。在这研究,存在的可存取的库存弄弯首先位于中间大西洋的美国(MAUS)的钢girder桥被用来建立为地震敏感研究用作输入的统计特征。批评地震反应数量用非线性的有限元素建模的3D被捕获。从这些数量的有影响的参数用统计工具被识别,它包括了Pareto合并试验性的Plackett缅甸人设计(PBD)最佳的阴谋和预言剖析程序技术。调查结果表明在包括的有影响的参数的潜在的变化跨度,弯曲的半径,最大的跨度长度,girder间距,和跨框架的间距数。这些参数显示出对批评的桥反应的影响的变化层次。
简介:AstatisticalanalysisonearthquakeactivityintheKashi-WuqiaintersectionareatriggeredbyearthtideisdonebySchusterstestandthePermutationtestondailyandmonthlyscales.Thenorth-south,east-westcomponentofthetidalforceandtidalbodystressarechosenasthetidalcurveinthedailyscale.Theresultsshowthatmostoftheearthquakesoccurrednearthemaximum0°ofthethreekindsoftidalcurves,thepredominanttidalphasesoftheearthquakeare-5.86°,6.60°and-15.52°,andthefrequencyoftheearthquakesincreaseswiththeincreaseofthetide;withthreekindsoftidalcurves(thenorth-south,east-westcomponentofthetidalforceandtidalbodystress),thepSofSchusterstestforalltheearthquakesis10.52%,2.40%and2.06%,andthepPofthePermutationtestis10.90%,2.40%and2.06%,andtheresultsofpSandpPbasedontheeast-westcomponentofthetidalforceandtidalbodystressarebelowthethresholdof0.05thattidaltriggeringofearthquakes.Inthemonthlyscale,boththepSandpPareverylow(closeto0),farbelowthethresholdof0.05oftidaltriggeringofearthquakes,andthepredominanttidalphaseforearthquaketriggeringis-18.95°,closetothemaximum0°(newmoonandfullmoon)oftheearthtideinmonthlyscale.Regardingthestatisticaltestresultoftidaltriggeringofearthquakes,apreliminaryexplanationisgivenastowhythetriggereffectintheeast-westdirectionisgreaterthanthatinnorth-southdirection.
简介:Inordertounifythetimeandthespaceattributesintotemporal-spatialdistance,thetemporal-spatialproportionalcoefficientfTSisproposedinthispaper.Inaccordancewiththenewdistanceconcept,thetemporal-spatialcorrelativitywithintemporaldoubletsofstrongearthquakesinNorthChinaanditsvicinitysinceAD1500hasbeenanalyzed.ThecomputationresultsindicatethatdoubletsofstrongearthquakecanbedividedintotwogroupswhenfTSisendowedwith10km/ainthenewdistanceformula.Thetemporal-spatialdistancebetweentwopointsofdoubletgenerallycannotexceed140kmwhentwostrongquakesindoublethavesomecausativerelation.Andthosedoubletswithtemporal-spatialdistanceexceeding280kmareprobablyindependentseismiceventsindoublets.Thischaractercanbethereferencetothemigrationlawsummarizationandtrendprediction.