学科分类
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42 个结果
  • 简介:GivenanewDouble-MarkovriskmodelDM=(μ,Q,ν,H;Y,Z)andDouble-MarkovriskprocessU={U(t),t≥0}.Theruinorsurvivalproblemisaddressed.Equationswhichthesurvivalprobabilitysatisfiedandtheformulasofcalculatingsurvivalprobabilityareobtained.Recursionformulasofcalculatingthesurvivalprobabilityandanalyticexpressionofrecursionitemsareobtained.TheconclusionsareexpressedbyQmatrixforaMarkovchainandtransitionprobabilitiesforanotherMarkovChain.

  • 标签: 马尔可夫链 风险模型 生存概率 递归公式 解析表达式 风险过程
  • 简介:Inperiodiccellularstructures,novelpatterntransformationsaretriggeredbyareversibleelasticinstabilityundertheaxialcompression.Basedonthedeformation-triggerednewpattern,periodiccellularstructurescanachievespecialmechanicalproperties.Inthispaper,thedesignedarchitecturematerialswhichincludeelastomermatrixescontainingemptyholesorfilledholeswithhydrogelmaterialaremodeledandsimulatedtoinvestigatethemechanicalpropertyoftheperiodicmaterials.Byanalyzingtherelationshipbetweennominalstressandnominalstrainofperiodicmaterial,andthecorrespondingdeformedpatterns,theinfluenceofgeometryandshapesoftheholesonthemechanicalpropertyofarchitecturematerialisstudiedinmoredetails.Wehopethisstudycanprovidefutureperspectivesforthedeformation-triggeredperiodicstructures.

  • 标签: 力学行为 周期结构 周期性结构 凝胶材料 型模 变形模式
  • 简介:Objective:Theaimofthepresentstudywastoconstructariskassessmentmodelwhichwastestedbydisease-freesurvival(DFS)ofesophagealcancerafterradicalsurgery.Methods:Atotalof164consecutiveesophagealcancerpatientswhohadundergoneradicalsurgerybetweenJanuary2005andDecember2006wereretrospectivelyanalyzed.Thecutpointofvalueatrisk(VaR)wasinferredbystem-and-leafplot,aswellasbyindependent-samplest-testforrecurrence-freetime,furtherconfirmedbycrosstabchi-squaretest,univariateanalysisandCoxregressionanalysisforDFS.Results:ThecutpointofVaRwas0.3onthebasisofourmodel.Therateofrecurrencewas30.3%(30/99)and52.3%(34/65)inVaR<0.3andVaR≥0.3(chi-squaretest,χ2=7.984,P=0.005),respectively.The1-,3-,and5-yearDFSofesophagealcancerafterradicalsurgerywas70.4%,48.7%,and45.3%,respectivelyinVaR≥0.3,whereas91.5%,75.8%,and67.3%,respectivelyinVaR<0.3(Log-ranktest,χ2=9.59,P=0.0020),andfurtherconfirmedbyCoxregressionanalysis[hazardratio=2.10,95%confidenceinterval(CI):1.2649-3.4751;P=0.0041].Conclusions:Themodelcouldbeappliedforintegratedassessmentofrecurrenceriskafterradicalsurgeryforesophagealcancer.

  • 标签: 风险模型 食管癌 复发率 手术 风险评估体系 风险价值
  • 简介:Theelasticbehaviorofsaturatedporousmaterialsunderundrainedfreezingisinvestigatedbyusingaporomechanicalapproach.Thermodynamicequilibriaareusedtodescribethecrystallizationprocessofthepartiallyfrozensolutioninbulkstateandconfinedstateinpores.Byphasetransitionatfreezing,fusionenergy,thermalcontractionofsolid,solutionandicecrystals,volumechangesofcrystallizationbuildupremarkableporepressurethatinducesexpansionorshrinkageofsolidmatrix.Owingtothelowerchemicalpotentialwhenporewatermixeswithsalts,fewericeformsinpores.Penetrationoficeintotheporousmaterialsincreasesthecapillarypressure,butlimitse?ectontheporeliquidpressureandthestrainofsolidmatrix.Onthecontrary,theporepressureinducedbysolutiondensityrisesassaltconcentrationincreasesandcausessignificantshrinkageofsolidmatrix.

  • 标签: 多孔材料 弹性行为 不排水 冻结 饱和 固体基质
  • 简介:Thenearly30-yeareconomicgrowthmiraclebringstheconsequenttremendouspoor-richgapleadingstrongdrivesforsocialtransformationincurrentChina.Chinesetopleadershaverealizedtoincreasethepeoples'income,improvequalityoflifeandconstructa'harmonioussociety'askeymissionsespeciallyinrecent10years.Howtomeasureaharmonioussocietyisoneimportanttopicasdifferentmeasuresmayleadtodifferentdevelopmentpolicies.Thispaperoutlinesover10indicesrelevanttomeasureaharmonioussociety.Someareglobalindicators,whilesomearecontributedbydomesticresearchersandarousedebates.Mostofthoseindicatorsrequireconductingsurveysonsocialattitudesundermicrolevels,whichisalwaystimeconsumingwithproblemofdataquality.AsInternettechnologyadvancesprovidewaystorecordanddisseminatefreshcommunityideasandthoughtsconveniently,detectingtopicsoremotionsfromon-linepublicopinionsisbecomingatrendoronesupplementwaytoovercomethosedataacquisitionproblems.Thispaperdiscussesoneapproachtoon-linesocietalriskperceptionusinghotsearchwordsandBBSposts.Suchatrialaimstoprovideanotherwaytosocietalriskperceptiondifferentfromthoseintraditionalsociopsychologystudies.Challengesarealsoindicated.

  • 标签: 社会风险 和谐 测量 当代中国 互联网技术 社会心理学
  • 简介:Theetiologyofvasoplegicsyndrome(VS)isnotcompletelyelucidatedandtheclinicalimportanceremainsspeculative.MethodsTwenty-fourpatientswhounderwentcoronaryarterybypassgraftinganddevelopedVSwerecomparedwith48controlpatientswithoutVSina2:1casecontrolstudy.Casesandcontrolswerematchedbygender,age(±5yearsold)andoperationdate(±1week).ResultsTheindependentpredictorsofVSwerelowerejectionfraction(OR10.75,95%CI2.93-39.44,whenLVEF<0.45)anddiureticuse(OR8.98,95%CI2.59-31.10)inlogisticregressionanalysis.Conclusionlowerejectionfraction(<0.45)anddiureticuseareindependentriskfactorsforVSoccurrence.

  • 标签: 危险因素 冠状动脉 综合征 LOGISTIC回归分析 移植 旁路
  • 简介:前列腺癌症(PCa)是在在西方的发达国家的人之中的最普通的癌症之一,它的发生在世界的许多另外的部分更加增加了,包括中国。PCa的病原学大部分是未知的,但是被认为是multifactorial,在继承遗传起一个重要作用的地方。在这篇文章,我们简短首先从家庭聚集和基因危险性的研究考察结果到PCa。我们然后,从连接的稀罕、高外显率的PCa危险性基因的翻新的胎面钥匙调查结果在PCa家庭学习。我们把这篇文章的重要部分奉献给在PCa情况和控制中从基因协会研究总结普通、低外显率的PCa联系风险的单个核苷酸的多型性(SNP)的发现,特别那些从染色体宽的协会研究(GWAS)。这篇文章的一个强壮的焦点是在这些含有的基因标记的潜在的临床的用途上考察文学。大多数这些出版研究用在为前列腺活体检视决定需要从多重联系风险的SNP和它的用途导出的一个基因分数描述了PCa风险评价。最后,我们评论基因分数的最新建议的概念;观点是为基因倾向把它当作一个标记,类似于家庭历史,而非一个诊断标记到从非癌症病人区别PCa病人。到日期的可得到的证据建议那个基因分数比家庭历史是一个目的和PCa的继承风险的更好的测量。这篇文章的另一个唯一的特征是在中国、日本的人口的PCa的基因协会研究的包括。

  • 标签: 前列腺癌 遗传标记 风险估计 临床应用 单核苷酸多态性 价值
  • 简介:Theself-extinguishingbehaviorofkerosenesprayfirewasinvestigatedinacompletelyenclosedcompartmentwiththesizeof3m×3m×3.4m.ThespraywasgeneratedbylocatingoneBETEnozzleatthecenterofthebottomwall.AseriesofsprayfirevideoswereobtainedbychangingBETEnozzletypeandinjectingpressure.Theresultsshowthatsprayfireundergoesfourstages:thegrowthstage,thequasi-steadystage,thestretchstageandtheself-extinguishingstage.Consumptionoflargequantitiesofoxygencausessprayfiretofirstbestretchedandthenquench.Inthisprocess,firebasemigratesawayfromsprayregionandleadstotheemergenceofghostingfire.Ghostingfirepromotestheinstabilityofsprayfireandlargefluctuationofitsheight,whichprovideshelptoitsself-extinguishing.Withincreasingtheinjectingpressureorthenozzlediameter,theself-extinguishingtimedecreases.Itisfoundthattheself-extinguishingtimeisapproximatelyininverserelationwithinjectingflowrate.Additionally,wealsoobservedtheoccurrenceoftwo-phasedeflagrationjustafterignition,anditacceleratesthesprayfiregrowthandinducesalargerfireheightthanthefollowingquasi-steadysprayfire.Thedeflagrationturnsstrongerwithincreasingtheinjectingpressure.

  • 标签: 行为调查 全封闭 喷火 煤油 车厢 注射压力
  • 简介:Thispaperconsidersaperturbedrenewalriskprocessinwhichtheinter-claimtimeshaveaphase-typedistributionunderathresholddividendstrategy.Integro-differentialequationswithcertainboundaryconditionsforthemoment-generatingfunctionandthemthmomentofthepresentvalueofalldividendsuntilruinarederived.Explicitexpressionsfortheexpectationofthepresentvalueofalldividendsuntilruinareobtainedwhentheclaimamountdistributionisfromtherationalfamily.Finally,wepresentanexample.

  • 标签: 风险模型 干扰 相带 矩生成函数 风险过程 积分方程
  • 简介:Asmanycountrieshaveenteredanewperiodofadjustmentanddevelopmentalcompetitioninthewakeofthefinancialcrisis,someprofoundchangesandtransformationshaveinevitablytakenplaceintheinternationalstrategicconfigurationandtheinternationalorder.AstheconnotationsandconditionsofChina’snew

  • 标签: 风险 金融危机 国际秩序 国际战略 中国
  • 简介:Objective:RecentevidenceindicatesthatdysregulationofmicroRNA(miRNA)biogenesisisimplicatedincancerdevelopmentandprogression.BasedontheimportantroleofmiRNAbiogenesisgenesincarcinogenesis,wehypothesizedthatgeneticvariationsofthemiRNAbiogenesisgenesmaymodulatesusceptibilitytocervicalcancer.Methods:Weidentifiedthreesinglenucleotidepolymorphisms(SNPs)locatedinthe3’-untranslatedregions(3’-UTR)ofofmiRNAbiogenesiskeygenes(rs1057035inDICER,rs3803012inRANandrs10773771inHIWI)andgenotypedtheseSNPsinacase-controlstudyof1,486cervicalcancercasesand1,549cancer-freecontrolsinChinesewomen.Results:LogisticregressionanalysesshowedthatnosignificantassociationswereobservedbetweenthethreeSNPsandcervicalcancerrisk[rs3803012inRANAG/GGvs.AAadjustedOR=1.104,95%confidenceinterval(CI):0.859-1.419;rs1057035inDICERCT/CCvs.TTadjustedOR=0.962,95%CI:0.805-1.149;rs10773771inHIWICT/CCvs.TTadjustedOR=0.963,95%CI:0.826-1.122].Conclusions:Thefindingsdidnotsuggestthatgeneticvariantsinthe3’-UTRofRAN,DICERandHIWIofmiRNAbiogenesisgeneswereassociatedwiththeriskofcervicalcancerinthisChinesepopulation.

  • 标签: 生物合成基因 子宫颈癌 遗传变异 中国人群 RAN 小分子RNA
  • 简介:Marginalriskrepresentstheriskcontributionofanindividualassettotheriskoftheentireportfolio.Inthispaper,weinvestigatetheportfolioselectionproblemwithdirectmarginalriskcontrolinalinearconicprogrammingframework.'Theoptimizationmodelinvolvedisanonconvexquadraticallyconstrainedquadraticprogramming(QCQP)problem.WefirsttransformtheQCQPproblemintoalinearconicprogrammingproblem,andthenapproximatetheproblembysemidefiniteprogramming(SDP)relaxationproblemsoversomesubrectangles.InordertoimprovethelowerboundsobtainedfromtheSDPrelaxationproblems,linearandquadraticpolarcutsareintroducedfordesigningabranch-and-cutalgorithm,thatmayyieldane-optimalglobalsolution(withrespecttofeasibilityandoptimality)inafinitenumberofiterations.ByexploringthespecialstructureoftheSDPrelaxationproblems,anadaptivebranch-and-cutruleisemployedtospeedupthecomputation.Theproposedalgorithmistestedandcomparedwithaknownmethodintheliteratureforportfolioselectionproblemswithhundredsofassetsandtensofmarginalriskcontrolconstraints.

  • 标签: 二次约束二次规划 风险控制 线性 组合选择 框架 投资组合