简介:Inthispaper,theSpaceWeatherModelingFramework(SWMF)isusedtosimulatethereal-timeresponseofthemagnetospheretoasolarwindeventonJune5,1998,inwhichtheinterplanetarymagneticfieldshifteditsdirectionfromnorthtosouth.Sincemostcurrentmodelsdonottakeintoaccountconvectiveeffectsoftheinnermagnetosphere,wefirststudytheimportanceofRiceConvectionModel(RCM)intheglobalmodel.Wethenfocusonthefollowingfouraspectsofthemagnetosphere’sresponse:themagnetosphere’sdensitydistribution,thestructureofitsmagneticfieldlines,theareaofthepolarcapboundary,andthecorrespondingionosphericcurrentchange.Wefindthat(1)whentheIMFchangesfromnorthtosouthinthisevent,highmagnetosheathdensityisobservedtoflowdownstreamalongthemagnetopausewiththesolarwind;low-latitudereconnectionatdaysideoccursunderthesouthwardIMF,whilethemagneticfieldlinesinthetaillobecaudal,causedbythenightsidehighlatitudereconnection,extendintotheinterplanetaryspace.Openmagneticfieldlinesexistsimultaneouslyatbothhighandlowlatitudesatthemagnetopause;(2)theareaofthepolarcapisobviouslyincreasediftheIMFturnsfromthenorthtothesouth;thisobservationishighlyconsistentwithempiricalobservations;(3)theionosphericfieldaligncurrentinthenorthernhemisphereisstrongerthaninthesouthernhemisphereandalsoincreasesastheIMFchangesfromnorthtosouth.SWMFwiththeRiceConvectioneffectprovidesreliablemodelingofthemagnetosphericandionosphericresponsetothissolarwindvariation.
简介:直接暴露于日光的方面上的树通常变得比在相反的方面上快,现象称为植物向光性。在situ有在Yanqing县的Xiadelongwan区域的硅化的木头的垂直箱子,北方北京,在自从2002,中国的石化的伍德的第一个国家地质的公园被造了的地方。一些箱子有保存得很好的生长戒指。一个人石化从形成的树桩显示出SW230°的一个积极向光性方向。作为与现代正常相比,生长走在北京平凡区域,它有SW210°±的一个积极向光性方向5°,木头向光性的证据支持自从迟了的侏罗记,北方中国板顺时针方向旋转了的以前的palaeomagnetic研究的结论。在Yanshan辽宁区域的已知的石化的木头树桩主要从165-136妈的阶层被发现,它对应于Yanshanian运动的主要阶段。
简介:THESIMULATIONOFASPRINGPRECIPITATIONPROCESSFORICESEEDINGINNORTHCHINAWansXiaobin(汪晓滨),HuZhijn(胡志晋)andYouLaiguang(游来光)(Institute...
简介:TheNorthChinablock,thewesternportionoftheSino-KoreanCraton,isroundedbyYanshanianinthenorthandQinling-Dabieorogenicbeltsinthesouth.Thewidespreaddevelopmentofextensionalbasinsinthisblockindicateshorizontalextensionorcontinuedthinningofapreviouselythickened,trnstablelithospherethroughouttheMesozoic.Inthispaper,weattempttosimulatenumericallythegeodynamicalprocessofthebasinformationbyusingthemountain-basinevolutionsystem.WeassumethattheformationofnumeroussedimentarybasinsintheNorthChinablockistheresultofthecrustalextension,whichdestructsrapidlythepreviouslythickenedcrust.
简介:Althoughseismicgaptheoryplaysanimportantroleinthemed-andlong-termearthquakeprediction,thepotentialriskofthenon-seismicgapinhistoricalearthquakeruptureareaswillneedtobesimultaneouslytakenintoaccountinthestudyofmed-andlong-termearthquakeprediction,duetothetemporallyclusteringornon-linearbehavioroflargeearthquakerecurrence.Inordertoexploretechnicalmethodswhichcanbebasedonobservationaldata,andidentifyhistoricalearthquakerupturezones(includingtheseismicgapinhistoricalandprehistoricearthquakerupturezones),weselecteighthistoricallargeearthquakerupturezoneswithdifferentelapsedtimesonthemid-northsegmentoftheNorth-SouthSeismicBelttomakequantitativeanalysisonthecharacteristicsofmodernseismicityofthesezonesandpreliminarilyexploretheseismicitymethodfordeterminingtheurgencydegreeofpotentialearthquakehazards.Theresultsmainlyshowthatthepvalue,whichreflectstheattenuationofearthquakesequence,andthea-value,whichreflectstheseismicityrate,arestronglyrelatedtotheelapsedtimeofthelatestearthquakeintherupturezone.However,thecorrespondingrelationshipsinsomeruptureareasarenotclearperhapsduetothecomplexfaultstructureandfaultingbehavior.Theb-value,whichrepresentsthestateoftectonicstressaccumulation,doesnoteasilyreflecttheelapsedtimeinformationofdifferentevolutionstages.Theb-valuetemporalscanningshowsasteadyevolutionovertimeinmostoftherupturezones,butintherupturezoneoftheWuduM8.0earthquakeof1879,theb-valueshowssignificantfluctuationswithadecreasingtrendfor20years.Bycomparativeanalysis,weconcludethattherupturezonesofthe1933M7.5Maoxianearthquakeandthe1976M7.2Songpan-Pingwuearthquakearestillinthedecayingperiodofearthquakesequences,andthusdonothavethebackgroundforrecurrenceofM7.0earthquakes.Thelowb-valueMaqusegment,whichislocatedatthenorthmarginoftherupturezoneof
简介:INTRODUCTIONThepaleocontinentalmargins,characterizedbyactivein-teractionbetweenearthcrustandmantle,complicatedtecton-icmoveme...
简介:拿Yucheng,在是的山东省的一个典型的农业县一个盒子,应用逻辑回归建模空间地识别影响农田的因素的这研究变化。用在2001和2009的高分辨率形象的二个阶段,学习在20012009获得了陆地使用和农田变化数据。农田被5.14%在时期减少,这被发现,主要由于到森林土地的农田变换并且布满建筑物土地,尽管森林土地的部分和闲置的土地被变换成农田。逻辑回归的结果显示那个地点,人口生长和农民收入是影响农田变换的主要因素,当土壤打字时并且支持弯曲是控制农田变化的分发的主要自然因素。地区性的差别和农田变化的时间空间的变量影响了逻辑回归模型的恰当的能力。巨鸟恰当的测试显示逻辑回归模型给了地区性的陆地使用变化的好解释。逻辑回归分析是一个好工具鉴别影响陆地使用的主要因素由确定改变每个因素的贡献。
简介:AwesternNorthPacifictropicalcyclone(TC)intensitypredictionscheme(WIPS)isdevelopedbasedonTCsamplesfrom1996to2002usingthestepwiseregressiontechnique,withthewesternNorthPacificdividedintothreesub-regions:theregionnearthecoastofEastChina(ECR),theSouthChinaSearegion(SCR),andthefaroceanicregion(FOR).OnlytheTCswithmaximumsustainedsurfacewindspeedgreaterthan17.2ms1areusedinthescheme.Potentialpredictorsincludetheclimatologyandpersistencefactors,synopticenvironmentalconditions,potentialintensityofaTCandproximityofaTCtoland.VariancesexplainedbytheselectedpredictorssuggestthatthepotentialintensityofaTCandtheproximityofaTCtolandaresignificantinalmostalltheforecastequations.OtherimportantpredictorsincludeverticalwindshearinECR,500-hPageopotentialheightanomalyattheTCcenter,zonalcomponentofTCtranslationspeedinSCR,intensitychangeofTC12or24hpriortoinitialtime,andthelongitudeofTCcenterinFOR.IndependenttestsarecarriedoutforTCsin4yr(2004-2007),withmeanabsoluteerrorsofthemaximumsurfacewindbeing3.0,5.0,6.5,7.3,7.6,and7.9ms1for12-to72-hpredictionsat12-hintervals,respectively.Positiveskillsareobtainedatallleadingtimelevelsascomparedtotheclimatologyandpersistencepredictionscheme,andthelargeskillscores(nearorover20%)after36himplythatWIPSperformsespeciallybetteratlongerleadingtimes.Furthermore,itisfoundthattheamendmentinTCtrackpredictionandreal-timemodelanalysiscansignificantlyimprovetheperformanceofWIPSintheSCRandECR.FutureimprovementswillfocusonapplyingtheschemeforweakeningTCsandthosenearthecoastalregions.
简介:Sincetheendofthecoldwar,therehavetakeplaceanumberofnotablechangesintheThirdWorldandNorth-Southrelations,whichareexpectedtohaveafar-reachingimpactontheevolvingworldconfigurationandeventheinter-nationalrelationshipinthe21stcentury.
简介:TheGlobalPositioningSystem(GPS)isanewmethodtomonitorthecrustaldeformationforearthquakeprediction.Nowafour-dimensionalcrustaldeformationmonitoringnetworkapplyingGPStechniqueshasbeenestablishedinNorthChina,whichisanimportantseismicmonitoringarea.Resultswithhighprecisionhavebeenachievedinthefirstmeasurementsinceaseriesofadvancedmethodsandmeasureswereadopted,andthusagoodfoundationhasbeenlaidforfutureresearchesonearthquakepredictionandgeodynamics.
简介:Recentandpaleo-submarinelandslidesarewidelydistributedwithinstrataindeep-waterareasalongcontinentalslopes,uplifts,andcarbonateplatformsonthenorthcontinentalmarginoftheSouthChinaSea(SCS).Inthispaper,high-resolution3Dseismicdataandmultibeamdatabasedonseismicsedimentologyandgeomorphologyareemployedtoassistinidentifyingsubmarinelandslides.Inaddition,depositionmodelsareproposedthatarebasedonspecificgeologicalstructuresandfeatures,andwhichillustratethelocalstressfieldoverentiresubmarinelandslidesindeep-waterareasoftheSCS.TheSCSisoneofthelargestfluvialsedimentsinksinenclosedorsemi-enclosedmarginalseasworldwide.Itthereforeprovidesasetofpreconditionsfortheformationofsubmarinelandslides,includingrapidsedimentaccumulation,formationofgashydrates,andfluidoverpressure.Anewconceptinvolvingtemporalandspatialanalysesistestedtoconstructarelationshipbetweensubmarinelandslidesanddifferenttimescaletriggermechanisms,andthreemechanismsarediscussedinthecontextofspatialscaleandtemporalfrequency:evolutionofslopegradientandoverpressure,globalenvironmentalchanges,andtectonicevents.Submarinelandslidesthataretriggeredbytectoniceventsarethelargestbutoccurlessfrequently,whilesubmarinelandslidestriggeredbythecombinationofslopegradientandoverpressureevolutionarethesmallestbutmostfrequentlyoccurringevents.Insummary,analysisshowsthattheformationofsubmarinelandslidesisacomplexprocessinvolvingtheoperationofdifferentfactorsonvarioustimescales.
简介:Inrecentyears,especiallyinthesummerof2002,themostseriousforestfiresoccurredintheDaxinganMountainofHeilongjiangprovinceandInnerMongolia.TherehasbeenlongtimeseriousforestfireenvironmentinsummerinDaxinganMountain.Thegrassintheforestisscorchedforlongtimedroughtandthemoisturecontentoflitterandturflayerdecreaserapidly.Theaccumulationanddrynessoffuelbuildthesummerforestfireenvironment,whicharemajorcausedbyMeteorologicalenvironment....
简介:FifteenuplandsoilscollectedfromthemajorarableareasinNOrthChinawereusedtoassesstheavailabilityofsoilsulfur(S)toplantsinapotexperiment.SoilswereextractedwithvariousreagentsandtheextractableSwasdeterminedusingturbidimetricmethodorinductivelycoupledplasmaatomicemissionspectrometry(ICP-AES),respectively.Inaddition,mineralizableorganicS,organicS,N/Sratio,sulfuravailabilityindex(SAI)andavailablesulfurcorrectionvalue(ASC)insoilswerealsodetermined.TheSamoutextractedby1.5gL^-1CaCl2wasnearlyequivalenttothatby0.25molL^-1KCl(40℃),andbothofthemwereslightlysmallerthanthatby0.01molL^-1Ca(H2PO4)2solution,asmeasuredbyturbidimetricmethodorICP-AES.TheextractableSmeasuredbyturbidimetricmethodwasconsistentlysmallerthanthatbyICP-AES.AllmethodstestedexceptthatfororganicSandN/SratioproducedsatisfactoyresultsintheregressionanalysesoftherelationshipsbetweentheamountsofSextractedandplantdrymatterweightandSuptakeinthepotexperiment,Ingeneral,0.01molL^-1Ca(H2PO4)2-extractedSdeterminedbyICP-AESorturbidimetricmethodand0.25molL^-1KCl(40℃)-extractedSdeterminedbyICP-AESappearedtobethebestindicatorsforevaluationofsoilavailableS.
简介:持续农业生产具有到食物供应安全的重要重要性。这研究试图在北方中国平原(NCP)并且随后在县规模调查庄稼收益反应到土壤质量的空间可变性导出关键土壤质量指示物。土壤样品从表面(020厘米)在2008引用geo、拿并且表面下(2040厘米)在整个Fengqiu县的132块地里的层,在NCP的中心定位了,为随后的土壤性质的分析。年度庄稼收益从土壤样品是镇定的一样的领域被获得。土壤质量与13个土壤性质基于一个模糊集合被评估,并且它的空间分布被集成geostatistical分析和地理信息系统(GIS)调查技术。土壤质量索引被分类进五个等级,并且他们的空间分布在县以内被印射。表面土壤质量比表面下的土壤高是大约一~二个等级。质量索引因为表面和表面下的土壤断然与年度庄稼收益被联系,建议两个的重要性。土壤有机物,全部的氮,可得到的P,和可得到的K贡献了50%联合重量到土壤质量索引并且以可持续性在区域作为土壤质量地位的关键指示物被识别。
简介:TheNorthChinaPlain(NCP)isthemostimportantfoodgrainproducingareainChinaandhassufferedfromseriouswatershortages.Tocapturevariationwateravailability,itisnecessarytohaveananalysisofchangingtrendsinprecipitation.Thisstudy,basedondailyprecipitationdatafrom47representativestationsinNCPrecordspassedthehomogeneitytest,analyzedthetrendandamplitudeofvariationinmonthly,seasonalandannualprecipitation,annualmaximumcontinuousno-raindays,annualraindays,rainfallintensity,andrainfallextremesfrom1960to2007,usingtheMannKendall(M-K)testandSen’sslopeestimator.Itwasfoundthatmonthlyprecipitationinwinterhadasignificantincreasingtrendinmostparts,whilemonthlyprecipitationinJulytoSeptembershowedadecreasingtrendinsomepartsofNCP.Nosignificantchangingtrendwasfoundfortheannual,dryandwetseasonprecipitationandrainfallextremesinthemajorityofNCP.Asignificantdecreasingtrendwasdetectedforthemaximumno-raindurationandannualraindaysinthemajorpartofNCP.ItwasconcludedthatthechangingtrendofprecipitationinNCPhadanapparentseasonalandregionalpattern,i.e.,precipitationshowedanobviousincreasingtrendinwinter,butadecreasingtrendintherainyseason(JulytoSeptember),andthechangingtrendwasmoreapparentinthenorthernpartthaninthesouthernandmiddleparts.Thisimpliesthatwithglobalwarming,seasonalvariationofprecipitationinNCPtendstodeclinewithanincreasingofprecipitationinwinterseason,andadecreasinginrainyseason,particularlyinthesub-humidnorthernpart.